Every round, we freeze a public prediction before it happens — then grade it against the official results. This page is the ledger.
Based on SkillSelect data as at 30 September 2026
Next 189 round (expected by 31 October 2026): we predict a cut-off of 85 points for most occupations, 80 for most health and education occupations and 65 for construction trades, based on the SkillSelect EOI pool as at 30 September 2026 plus one month of new EOIs at the recent pace and a round of 8,400–9,400 invitations. Find your occupation in the prediction table on this page.
72/125 official cutoffs in range — see breakdownSave your occupation → get your verdict
Based on the SkillSelect EOI pool as at 30 September 2026, plus one month of new EOIs added at the pace of the last three monthly snapshots, because the round is expected a month after the snapshot; new EOIs rank behind existing ones at the same score and ahead of lower scores. The cut-off is predicted from the size of the round, 8,400–9,400 invitations, applied to that projected pool; occupation ceilings act as a cap, not a target, and only stop an occupation that has used its places. Tested blind on the five past rounds we can check (without the inflow step): exact for 63% of the occupations it predicted, within 5 points for 92%. How we check our predictions →
Predicted cut-off and date of effect for the next 189 round, from the 9 Oct 2026 freeze. Ranges run from a round of 8,400 to 9,400 invitations.
You are expected to be invited if your score is above the minimum, or equal to it with a date of effect on or before the date shown.
Cut-offs if a round invited 10 to 1,000 people in your occupation — a what-if tool, not the prediction.
| Aug 25 | Nov 25 | June 26 | Spots left (FY) | If floor invited | If anchored invited | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Early Childhood (Pre-primary School) Teacher 241111 | Nov 25 | 85 | 430–507 | 283–332 | — | 188–314 | 90July 26 | 90Aug 26 | 13,352 | 2,600 | 1,027 | 90Jan 26 | 90Mar 26 | 85Aug 25 |
Chef 351311 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 10,551 | 883 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Software Engineer 261313 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 9,448 | 861 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Civil Engineer 233211 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 8,603 | 1,737 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
ICT Business Analyst 261111 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 7,745 | 880 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Registered Nurses (nec) 254499 | June 26 | 75 | 886–1,044 | 1,342–1,575 | 1,524–1,773 | 2,899–3,993 | 75Jan 26 | 75Feb 26 | 7,444 | 3,152 | 10,390 | 85Jan 26 | 85Apr 26 | 80June 26 |
Mechanical Engineer 233512 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 7,415 | 1,853 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Accountant (General) 221111 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 6,957 | 441 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Developer Programmer 261312 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 6,750 | 738 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Engineering Technologist 233914 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 5,811 | 1,340 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Analyst Programmer 261311 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 5,581 | 2,729 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Civil Engineering Draftsperson 312211 | Nov 25 | 85 | 8–9 | 143–168 | — | 0 | Closed this year | Closed this year | 5,290 | 578 | 130 | Closed this year | ||
Systems Analyst 261112 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 5,127 | 650 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Electrical Engineer 233311 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 4,283 | 900 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Software and Applications Programmers (nec) 261399 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 3,946 | 1,930 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Computer Network and Systems Engineer 263111 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 3,630 | 374 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
External Auditor 221213 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 3,372 | 1,025 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
ICT Security Specialist 262112 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3,067 | 288 | 0 | 100May 26 | 95Feb 25 | 90Feb 26 |
Secondary School Teacher 241411 | June 26 | 75 | 66–78 | 448–526 | 487–567 | 1,666–1,836 | 75Apr 25 | 75Oct 25 | 2,873 | 1,168 | 2,837 | 85June 26 | 85Sept 26 | 75June 25 |
Motor Mechanic (General) 321211 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | 2,809 | 201 | 0 | 90Apr 26 | 85Sept 25 | 80Aug 26 |
Electronics Engineer 233411 | June 26 | 95 | 24–28 | — | 10–12 | 0 | 95Aug 25 | 95Aug 25 | 2,750 | 339 | 25 | 95Oct 25 | 95Nov 25 | 85Nov 24 |
Construction Project Manager 133111 | June 26 | 80 | 11–13 | 81–95 | 402–468 | 226–308 | 80Aug 26 | 80Sept 26 | 2,452 | 524 | 802 | 90Sept 26 | 85June 26 | 80Sept 26 |
University Lecturer 242111 | Aug 25 | 85 | 310–365 | — | — | 0 | Closed this year | Closed this year | 2,426 | 668 | 89 | Closed this year | ||
Civil Engineering Technician 312212 | Nov 25 | 85 | 3–4 | 58–68 | — | 0 | Closed this year | Closed this year | 2,320 | 335 | 130 | Closed this year | ||
Registered Nurse (Aged Care) 254412 | June 26 | 75 | 240–283 | 365–429 | 250–291 | 2,899–3,993 | 80Sept 26 | 75May 25 | 2,020 | 901 | 10,390 | 85Sept 26 | 80Mar 26 | 75Mar 26 |
Taxation Accountant 221113 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 1,976 | 701 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Registered Nurse (Critical Care and Emergency) 254415 | June 26 | 75 | 119–140 | 189–222 | 159–185 | 2,899–3,993 | 75July 25 | 75Sept 25 | 1,670 | 498 | 10,390 | 80May 26 | 80Aug 26 | 70Nov 24 |
Registered Nurse (Medical) 254418 | June 26 | 75 | 109–128 | 172–202 | 142–165 | 2,899–3,993 | 80Sept 26 | 75June 25 | 1,668 | 518 | 10,390 | 80Feb 26 | 80Aug 26 | 75Sept 26 |
Management Accountant 221112 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 1,656 | 97 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Social Worker 272511 | June 26 | 75 | 88–104 | 413–485 | 404–470 | 0 | 75Jan 26 | 75Apr 26 | 1,569 | 769 | 876 | 85Aug 26 | 80Feb 26 | 75May 26 |
Chemical Engineer 233111 | Nov 25 | 85 | 81–95 | 266–312 | — | 0 | 85June 26 | 85Sept 26 | 1,508 | 323 | 237 | 90July 25 | 90May 26 | 80May 26 |
Painting Trades Worker 332211 | Nov 25 | 70 | 194–229 | 182–214 | — | 0 | 75Jan 26 | 75Mar 26 | 1,473 | 742 | 231 | 80Feb 26 | 80July 26 | 70Feb 26 |
Carpenter 331212 | June 26 | 65 | 766–902 | 698–819 | 656–763 | 0 | 65June 26 | 65July 26 | 1,454 | 1,045 | 908 | 80Sept 26 | 75Aug 26 | 65Feb 26 |
Engineering Professionals (nec) 233999 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 1,335 | 426 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Architect 232111 | June 26 | 85 | 16–19 | 89–104 | 83–97 | 0 | 85Mar 26 | 85Mar 26 | 1,164 | 188 | 221 | 85Dec 25 | 85Apr 26 | 75Oct 25 |
Telecommunications Engineer 263311 | June 26 | 95 | — | 24–28 | 20–23 | 163–172 | 95Aug 26 | 95Sept 26 | 1,112 | 24 | 228 | 90Oct 25 | 90Sept 26 | 75July 25 |
Quantity Surveyor 233213 | Nov 24 | 70 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 1,061 | 773 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Agricultural Consultant 234111 | June 26 | 80 | 26–31 | 58–68 | 148–172 | 0 | 80Sept 26 | 75Oct 24 | 913 | 170 | 322 | 85Sept 26 | 80Apr 26 | 70Sept 26 |
General Practitioner 253111 | June 26 | 75 | 302–356 | 262–308 | 347–404 | 1,895–2,052 | 75Feb 26 | 75June 26 | 855 | 493 | 2,963 | 85July 26 | 85Sept 26 | 70Jan 25 |
Food Technologist 234212 | June 26 | 85 | 20–24 | 95–112 | 64–74 | 0 | 85Feb 26 | 85Apr 26 | 771 | 143 | 301 | 85Nov 25 | 85July 26 | 70Feb 26 |
Registered Nurse (Surgical) 254424 | June 26 | 75 | 59–70 | 97–114 | 70–81 | 2,899–3,993 | 80Sept 26 | 75May 25 | 748 | 234 | 10,390 | 80July 26 | 75Sept 25 | 65Oct 25 |
Solicitor 271311 | June 26 | 80 | 76–90 | 261–306 | 386–449 | 5–127 | 75July 26 | 70Dec 24 | 731 | 282 | 850 | 85Feb 26 | 85Aug 26 | 70Apr 26 |
Structural Engineer 233214 | Nov 24 | 70 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 716 | 535 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Statistician 224113 | June 26 | 90 | 53–62 | 160–188 | 88–102 | 0 | 90June 26 | 90July 26 | 710 | 181 | 394 | 90Dec 25 | 90July 26 | 75Aug 26 |
Industrial Engineer 233511 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 704 | 148 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Production or Plant Engineer 233513 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 684 | 137 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Physiotherapist 252511 | June 26 | 75 | 150–177 | 205–241 | 163–190 | 945–1,035 | 75Aug 25 | 75Jan 26 | 682 | 347 | 1,553 | 80Dec 25 | 80Aug 26 | 70Sept 26 |
Chemist 234211 | June 26 | 85 | 29–34 | 85–100 | 42–49 | 0 | 85Nov 25 | 85Jan 26 | 665 | 114 | 301 | 85Jan 26 | 85Sept 26 | 65Feb 26 |
Management Consultant 224711 | June 26 | 80 | 42–49 | 141–166 | 249–290 | 98–171 | 80Sept 26 | 75Sept 25 | 648 | 260 | 603 | 90Aug 26 | 85July 26 | 65Mar 25 |
Medical Practitioners nec 253999 | June 26 | 75 | 248–292 | 173–203 | 268–312 | 0 | 75Feb 26 | 75May 26 | 639 | 373 | 647 | 85June 26 | 80Nov 25 | 70Sept 26 |
Medical Laboratory Scientist 234611 | June 26 | 80 | 5–6 | 26–31 | 136–158 | 292–320 | 80Aug 26 | 75Nov 24 | 615 | 152 | 487 | 85Sept 26 | 80May 26 | 65Apr 25 |
Internal Auditor 221214 | Nov 24 | 90 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 579 | 42 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Occupational Therapist 252411 | June 26 | 75 | 78–92 | 121–142 | 102–119 | 655–707 | 75July 25 | 75Oct 25 | 563 | 273 | 1,008 | 80July 26 | 75July 25 | 65Aug 26 |
Registered Nurse (Perioperative) 254423 | June 26 | 75 | 34–40 | 93–109 | 62–72 | 2,899–3,993 | 75Aug 25 | 75Nov 25 | 553 | 170 | 10,390 | 80Sept 26 | 75Mar 26 | 60Aug 26 |
Welder (First Class) 322313 | June 26 | 80 | 4–5 | 9–11 | 60–70 | 378–394 | 80Aug 26 | 80Aug 26 | 524 | 85 | 486 | 80June 26 | 75Sept 25 | 55Apr 26 |
Biomedical Engineer 233913 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 523 | 168 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Mining Engineer (excluding Petroleum) 233611 | June 26 | 80 | 12–14 | 42–49 | 120–140 | 0 | 75Nov 25 | 75Feb 26 | 518 | 95 | 275 | 80Feb 26 | 75Feb 25 | 55Aug 26 |
Multimedia Specialist 261211 | June 26 | 95 | — | 34–40 | 17–20 | 227–236 | 95Feb 26 | 95Mar 26 | 516 | 62 | 287 | 95Aug 26 | 90Nov 25 | 55Oct 25 |
Biotechnologist 234514 | June 26 | 95 | 39–46 | 87–102 | 12–14 | 0 | 95May 26 | 95June 26 | 488 | 18 | 323 | 90June 26 | 85Feb 26 | All invited (488) |
Telecommunications Network Planner 313213 | Nov 25 | 90 | — | 6–7 | — | 428–429 | 90Jan 26 | 90Jan 26 | 469 | 13 | 438 | 80Nov 25 | 75Sept 25 | All invited (469) |
Environmental Consultant 234312 | June 26 | 80 | 43–51 | 121–142 | 137–159 | 0 | 80Sept 26 | 75June 25 | 460 | 144 | 397 | 85July 26 | 80Apr 26 | All invited (460) |
Environmental Engineer 233915 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 437 | 127 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Registered Nurse (Mental Health) 254422 | June 26 | 75 | 51–60 | 79–93 | 82–95 | 2,899–3,993 | 75June 25 | 75Sept 25 | 414 | 210 | 10,390 | 80Aug 26 | 75Nov 25 | All invited (414) |
Aeronautical Engineer 233911 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 402 | 95 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Electrician (General) 341111 | June 26 | 65 | 174–205 | 111–130 | 88–102 | 1,129–1,197 | 65Apr 26 | 65May 26 | 338 | 189 | 1,594 | 70Aug 26 | 65May 26 | All invited (338) |
Microbiologist 234517 | June 26 | 95 | 14–16 | 28–33 | 3–3 | 0 | 95July 26 | 95July 26 | 331 | 8 | 323 | 85May 26 | 75Sept 25 | All invited (331) |
Engineering Manager 133211 | June 26 | 80 | 2–2 | 19–22 | 40–47 | 303–313 | 75Nov 24 | 75Jan 25 | 316 | 36 | 374 | 75Feb 25 | 70Feb 25 | All invited (316) |
Fitter (General) 323211 | June 26 | 80 | — | 8–9 | 25–29 | 829–834 | 75Nov 25 | 75Feb 26 | 308 | 15 | 873 | 75Sept 26 | 70Aug 26 | All invited (308) |
Telecommunications Network Engineer 263312 | June 26 | 95 | — | 8–9 | 4–5 | 163–172 | 95Apr 26 | 95June 26 | 307 | 12 | 228 | 85Dec 25 | 80Nov 25 | All invited (307) |
Life Scientist (General) 234511 | June 26 | 95 | 47–55 | 70–82 | 17–20 | 0 | 95June 26 | 95July 26 | 301 | 27 | 323 | 90July 26 | 85June 26 | All invited (301) |
Materials Engineer 233112 | Nov 25 | 85 | 24–28 | 32–38 | — | 0 | 90Sept 26 | 90Sept 26 | 300 | 77 | 237 | 85Nov 25 | 80Oct 25 | All invited (300) |
Agricultural Scientist 234112 | June 26 | 80 | 31–37 | 34–40 | 91–106 | 0 | 80Sept 26 | 75May 25 | 283 | 100 | 322 | 85Sept 26 | 80Sept 26 | All invited (283) |
Petroleum Engineer 233612 | June 26 | 80 | 10–12 | 41–48 | 76–88 | 0 | 75Jan 25 | 75Aug 25 | 280 | 73 | 275 | 80July 26 | 75Feb 26 | All invited (280) |
Metal Fabricator 322311 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 6–7 | 12–14 | 378–394 | 80July 26 | 80Aug 26 | 257 | 20 | 486 | 75Aug 26 | 70May 26 | All invited (257) |
Bricklayer 331111 | June 26 | 65 | 88–104 | 83–97 | 76–88 | 95–139 | 65Nov 25 | 65Feb 26 | 257 | 172 | 399 | 70June 26 | 65June 26 | All invited (257) |
Electrical Engineering Technician 312312 | June 26 | 80 | 4–5 | 24–28 | 75–87 | 230–252 | 75Feb 26 | 75Aug 26 | 256 | 59 | 382 | 80Sept 25 | 70Apr 25 | All invited (256) |
Geotechnical Engineer 233212 | Nov 24 | 70 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 253 | 204 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Landscape Architect 232112 | June 26 | 85 | 3–4 | 21–25 | 15–17 | 0 | 85May 26 | 85June 26 | 247 | 32 | 221 | 80Feb 26 | 75Feb 26 | All invited (247) |
Wall and Floor Tiler 333411 | June 26 | 65 | 122–144 | 87–102 | 88–102 | 15–66 | 65Dec 25 | 65May 26 | 244 | 172 | 363 | 70Aug 26 | 65Apr 26 | All invited (244) |
Diesel Motor Mechanic 321212 | Nov 24 | 95 | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | 230 | 5 | 0 | 75June 26 | 65Aug 25 | All invited (230) |
Registered Nurse (Paediatrics) 254425 | June 26 | 80 | 37–44 | 43–50 | 30–35 | 2,899–3,993 | 80Aug 26 | 80Sept 26 | 228 | 39 | 10,390 | 75Nov 25 | 70Oct 25 | All invited (228) |
Veterinarian 234711 | June 26 | 80 | 25–29 | 89–104 | 127–148 | 145–185 | 75Apr 26 | 70Apr 25 | 219 | 93 | 426 | 85Sept 26 | 75Apr 25 | All invited (219) |
Electronic Equipment Trades Worker 342313 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 10–12 | 18–21 | 344–351 | 75Oct 24 | 75Feb 25 | 213 | 17 | 395 | 75Sept 26 | 65Mar 25 | All invited (213) |
Actuary 224111 | June 26 | 90 | 42–49 | 89–104 | 13–15 | 0 | 90June 26 | 90June 26 | 209 | 31 | 394 | 85Mar 26 | 80Mar 26 | All invited (209) |
Economist 224311 | June 26 | 80 | 20–24 | 35–41 | 89–104 | 292–317 | 75Dec 25 | 75Sept 26 | 206 | 74 | 461 | 80Apr 26 | 75Aug 26 | All invited (206) |
Transport Engineer 233215 | Nov 24 | 70 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 202 | 149 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Psychologist (nec) 272399 | June 26 | 75 | 19–22 | 56–66 | 78–91 | 791–820 | 75Sept 26 | 70Nov 25 | 197 | 84 | 992 | 75Feb 26 | 70Mar 26 | All invited (197) |
Telecommunications Technical Officer or Technologist 313214 | Nov 25 | 90 | — | 1–1 | — | 428–429 | 90May 25 | 90May 25 | 191 | 8 | 438 | 75Mar 25 | 70Nov 25 | All invited (191) |
Electrical Engineering Draftsperson 312311 | June 26 | 80 | 4–5 | 5–6 | 18–21 | 230–252 | 85Sept 26 | 85Sept 26 | 190 | 55 | 382 | 80Sept 26 | 70Aug 25 | All invited (190) |
Medical Diagnostic Radiographer 251211 | June 26 | 80 | 36–42 | 50–59 | 39–45 | 632–663 | 75July 25 | 75Nov 25 | 188 | 31 | 847 | 75Jan 26 | 70Feb 25 | All invited (188) |
Surveyor 232212 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 13–15 | 18–21 | 236–255 | 75Jan 25 | 75June 25 | 172 | 16 | 372 | 70Dec 24 | 65Jan 26 | All invited (172) |
Cabinetmaker 394111 | June 26 | 80 | — | 3–4 | 5–6 | 446–448 | 80Feb 26 | 80Apr 26 | 171 | 16 | 456 | 70Aug 25 | 65Dec 25 | All invited (171) |
Environmental Manager 139912 | June 26 | 80 | 2–2 | 17–20 | 35–41 | 432–447 | 75Dec 24 | 75July 25 | 171 | 33 | 533 | 75Dec 25 | 70Aug 26 | All invited (171) |
Speech Pathologist 252712 | June 26 | 75 | 48–57 | 29–34 | 79–92 | 751–787 | 75Aug 26 | 70Aug 25 | 154 | 87 | 994 | 75Dec 25 | 70Mar 26 | All invited (154) |
Agricultural Engineer 233912 | Nov 24 | 90 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 146 | 6 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Telecommunications Field Engineer 313212 | Nov 25 | 90 | — | 2–2 | — | 428–429 | 90Oct 25 | 90Oct 25 | 145 | 14 | 438 | 75Sept 25 | 65Nov 25 | All invited (145) |
Environmental Research Scientist 234313 | June 26 | 80 | 18–21 | 35–41 | 49–57 | 0 | 80Sept 26 | 75Apr 26 | 142 | 49 | 397 | 75Mar 25 | 70Aug 26 | All invited (142) |
Registered Nurse (Medical Practice) 254421 | June 26 | 75 | 7–8 | 15–18 | 24–28 | 2,899–3,993 | 75Mar 26 | 75Mar 26 | 135 | 47 | 10,390 | 70June 25 | 65Feb 26 | All invited (135) |
Chiropractor 252111 | June 26 | 80 | — | 3–4 | 61–71 | 420–432 | 80Sept 26 | 80Sept 26 | 133 | 87 | 500 | 80Sept 26 | 75July 26 | All invited (133) |
Audiologist 252711 | June 26 | 75 | 11–13 | 21–25 | 19–22 | 751–787 | 75Aug 25 | 75Apr 26 | 132 | 44 | 994 | 70Aug 25 | 65Mar 26 | All invited (132) |
Other Spatial Scientist 232214 | June 26 | 80 | 12–14 | 30–35 | 40–47 | 236–255 | 75Sept 25 | 75Apr 26 | 128 | 35 | 372 | 75May 26 | 65Aug 26 | All invited (128) |
Registered Nurse (Community Health) 254414 | June 26 | 75 | 13–15 | 21–25 | 13–15 | 2,899–3,993 | 75Apr 25 | 75June 25 | 124 | 42 | 10,390 | 70Oct 25 | 65Sept 26 | All invited (124) |
Metallurgist 234912 | June 26 | 80 | 6–7 | 13–15 | 22–26 | 266–291 | 75Oct 25 | 75Oct 25 | 119 | 12 | 441 | 70Sept 25 | 65Sept 26 | All invited (119) |
Midwife 254111 | June 26 | 75 | 26–31 | 31–36 | 24–28 | 760–774 | 75Oct 25 | 75Dec 25 | 116 | 48 | 855 | 70Feb 25 | 65June 26 | All invited (116) |
Biochemist 234513 | Nov 25 | 85 | 10–12 | 8–9 | — | 0 | 95June 26 | 95July 26 | 115 | 29 | 323 | 75Aug 25 | 65Sept 26 | All invited (115) |
Life Scientist (nec) 234599 | June 26 | 95 | 14–16 | 26–31 | 3–3 | 0 | 100Sept 26 | 100Sept 26 | 111 | 12 | 323 | 80July 26 | 65Aug 26 | All invited (111) |
Registered Nurse (Disability and Rehabilitation) 254417 | June 26 | 80 | 5–6 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 2,899–3,993 | 75Sept 25 | 75Feb 26 | 111 | 17 | 10,390 | 70Jan 25 | 65Aug 26 | All invited (111) |
Electronic Instrument Trades Worker (General) 342314 | June 26 | 80 | — | 2–2 | 4–5 | 344–351 | 80Apr 26 | 80May 26 | 101 | 8 | 395 | 65Nov 24 | 50Aug 26 | All invited (101) |
Automotive Electrician 321111 | June 26 | 80 | — | 1–1 | 9–10 | 455–456 | 75Apr 26 | 75May 26 | 98 | 5 | 466 | 65Apr 26 | All invited (98) | All invited (98) |
Carpenter and Joiner 331211 | June 26 | 65 | 26–31 | 21–25 | 34–40 | 0 | 70Sept 26 | 70Sept 26 | 87 | 69 | 908 | 65May 26 | All invited (87) | All invited (87) |
Primary Health Organisation Manager 134213 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 4–5 | 11–13 | 443–446 | 75Dec 25 | 75May 26 | 79 | 7 | 464 | 65July 26 | All invited (79) | All invited (79) |
Valuer 224512 | June 26 | 80 | 8–9 | 16–19 | 29–34 | 389–403 | 75Aug 25 | 75Feb 26 | 77 | 15 | 484 | 70July 26 | All invited (77) | All invited (77) |
Physicist 234914 | June 26 | 80 | 15–18 | 24–28 | 38–44 | 266–291 | 75Mar 26 | 75Sept 26 | 75 | 31 | 441 | 70Nov 25 | All invited (75) | All invited (75) |
Special Needs Teacher 241511 | June 26 | 75 | 3–4 | 8–9 | 5–6 | 514–517 | 80Aug 26 | 80Aug 26 | 71 | 24 | 537 | 65May 26 | All invited (71) | All invited (71) |
Solid Plasterer 333212 | June 26 | 65 | 17–20 | 11–13 | 18–21 | 379–390 | 70Aug 26 | 70Sept 26 | 66 | 55 | 450 | 65Sept 26 | All invited (66) | All invited (66) |
Forester 234113 | June 26 | 80 | 5–6 | 7–8 | 8–9 | 0 | 75Nov 25 | 75Feb 26 | 65 | 5 | 322 | 65July 26 | All invited (65) | All invited (65) |
Marine Biologist 234516 | June 26 | 95 | 10–12 | 11–13 | 4–5 | 0 | 95Apr 26 | 95June 26 | 58 | 7 | 323 | 65Mar 26 | All invited (58) | All invited (58) |
Plumber (General) 334111 | June 26 | 65 | 32–38 | 35–41 | 26–30 | 693–722 | 65Aug 26 | 65Sept 26 | 56 | 32 | 891 | 55Sept 26 | All invited (56) | All invited (56) |
Electronic Instrument Trades Worker (Special Class) 342315 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 2–2 | 6–7 | 344–351 | 75Sept 25 | 75Oct 25 | 54 | 3 | 395 | 60May 26 | All invited (54) | All invited (54) |
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic 342111 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 2–2 | 455–455 | 75Nov 25 | 75Nov 25 | 53 | 1 | 457 | 50Feb 25 | All invited (53) | All invited (53) |
Geophysicist 234412 | June 26 | 80 | 2–2 | 5–6 | 9–10 | 302–307 | 80June 26 | 80Aug 26 | 50 | 11 | 338 | All invited (50) | All invited (50) | All invited (50) |
Hydrogeologist 234413 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 4–5 | 10–12 | 302–307 | 75Aug 26 | 75Aug 26 | 47 | 5 | 338 | All invited (47) | All invited (47) | All invited (47) |
Emergency Medicine Specialist 253912 | June 26 | 75 | 26–31 | 17–20 | 19–22 | 0 | 75Aug 25 | 75Dec 25 | 47 | 30 | 647 | All invited (47) | All invited (47) | All invited (47) |
Metal Machinist (First Class) 323214 | June 26 | 85 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 2–2 | 829–834 | 75Nov 24 | 75Nov 24 | 46 | 0 | 873 | All invited (46) | All invited (46) | All invited (46) |
Optometrist 251411 | June 26 | 80 | 9–11 | 5–6 | 7–8 | 464–468 | 80Apr 26 | 80June 26 | 45 | 14 | 489 | All invited (45) | All invited (45) | All invited (45) |
Naval Architect 233916 | Nov 24 | 90 | — | — | — | — | Closed this year | Closed this year | 44 | 4 | 0 | Closed this year | ||
Podiatrist 252611 | June 26 | 75 | 7–8 | 9–11 | 7–8 | 466–470 | 80Sept 26 | 75July 25 | 41 | 23 | 493 | All invited (41) | All invited (41) | All invited (41) |
Child Care Centre Manager 134111 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 4–5 | 5–6 | 448–450 | 75Aug 25 | 75Oct 25 | 41 | 4 | 460 | All invited (41) | All invited (41) | All invited (41) |
Arts Administrator or Manager 139911 | June 26 | 80 | 5–6 | 9–11 | 18–21 | 432–447 | 70Aug 26 | 65Jan 26 | 41 | 6 | 533 | All invited (41) | All invited (41) | All invited (41) |
Fitter and Turner 323212 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 2–2 | 829–834 | 70Oct 25 | 70Oct 25 | 37 | 0 | 873 | All invited (37) | All invited (37) | All invited (37) |
Registered Nurse (Child and Family Health) 254413 | June 26 | 80 | 3–4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 2,899–3,993 | 80Jan 26 | 75May 25 | 31 | 4 | 10,390 | All invited (31) | All invited (31) | All invited (31) |
Land Economist 224511 | June 26 | 80 | 2–2 | 10–12 | 16–19 | 389–403 | 75Sept 26 | 65May 25 | 28 | 9 | 484 | All invited (28) | All invited (28) | All invited (28) |
Zoologist 234518 | Nov 25 | 85 | 3–4 | 6–7 | — | 0 | 90June 26 | 90Sept 26 | 25 | 17 | 323 | All invited (25) | All invited (25) | All invited (25) |
Natural and Physical Science Professionals nec 234999 | June 26 | 80 | 4–5 | 5–6 | 18–21 | 266–291 | 70Mar 26 | 65June 26 | 24 | 12 | 441 | All invited (24) | All invited (24) | All invited (24) |
Airconditioning and Mechanical Services Plumber 334112 | June 26 | 65 | 23–27 | 15–18 | 9–10 | 693–722 | 65Nov 25 | 65Jan 26 | 24 | 19 | 891 | All invited (24) | All invited (24) | All invited (24) |
Psychiatrist 253411 | June 26 | 80 | 5–6 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 407–410 | 75Mar 26 | 75June 26 | 24 | 5 | 431 | All invited (24) | All invited (24) | All invited (24) |
Specialist Physician (General Medicine) 253311 | June 26 | 80 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 2–2 | 407–416 | 90June 26 | 90June 26 | 23 | 9 | 473 | All invited (23) | All invited (23) | All invited (23) |
Meteorologist 234913 | June 26 | 85 | 1–1 | — | 3–3 | 266–291 | 70May 26 | 70May 26 | 23 | 1 | 441 | All invited (23) | All invited (23) | All invited (23) |
Medical Radiation Therapist 251212 | June 26 | 80 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 2–2 | 632–663 | 80June 26 | 80June 26 | 22 | 3 | 847 | All invited (22) | All invited (22) | All invited (22) |
Special Education Teachers nec 241599 | June 26 | 85 | — | 2–2 | 2–2 | 514–517 | 80Sept 26 | 80Sept 26 | 21 | 0 | 537 | All invited (21) | All invited (21) | All invited (21) |
Environmental Scientists nec 234399 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 5–6 | 16–19 | 0 | 65Aug 25 | 65Sept 26 | 21 | 8 | 397 | All invited (21) | All invited (21) | All invited (21) |
Boat Builder and Repairer 399111 | June 26 | 80 | 3–4 | 4–5 | 8–9 | 464–467 | 70Mar 26 | 70June 26 | 20 | 0 | 483 | All invited (20) | All invited (20) | All invited (20) |
Glazier 333111 | June 26 | 65 | 12–14 | 8–9 | 9–10 | 446–450 | 70June 26 | 65Jan 26 | 19 | 16 | 479 | All invited (19) | All invited (19) | All invited (19) |
Obstetrician and Gynaecologist 253913 | June 26 | 85 | 2–2 | 2–2 | 2–2 | 0 | 80Sept 26 | 80Sept 26 | 18 | 1 | 647 | All invited (18) | All invited (18) | All invited (18) |
Tennis Coach 452316 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 2–2 | 7–8 | 511–512 | 75Feb 26 | 75Mar 26 | 18 | 6 | 522 | All invited (18) | All invited (18) | All invited (18) |
Panelbeater 324111 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | — | 4–5 | 466–467 | 70Apr 26 | 65Aug 25 | 17 | 1 | 472 | All invited (17) | All invited (17) | All invited (17) |
Botanist 234515 | Nov 25 | 85 | — | 1–1 | — | 0 | 80Feb 26 | 80Feb 26 | 17 | 0 | 323 | All invited (17) | All invited (17) | All invited (17) |
Clinical Psychologist 272311 | June 26 | 75 | 4–5 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 791–820 | 75July 26 | 75Aug 26 | 17 | 7 | 992 | All invited (17) | All invited (17) | All invited (17) |
Sonographer 251214 | June 26 | 85 | 21–25 | 23–27 | 2–2 | 632–663 | 80July 26 | 80July 26 | 16 | 1 | 847 | All invited (16) | All invited (16) | All invited (16) |
Osteopath 252112 | June 26 | 80 | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4–5 | 420–432 | 75Mar 25 | 75Aug 25 | 16 | 3 | 500 | All invited (16) | All invited (16) | All invited (16) |
Musician (Instrumental) 211213 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 6–7 | 490–491 | 70July 25 | 70Dec 25 | 16 | 3 | 500 | All invited (16) | All invited (16) | All invited (16) |
Nurse Practitioner 254411 | June 26 | 80 | 4–5 | 1–1 | 3–3 | 2,899–3,993 | 75Aug 26 | 75Aug 26 | 15 | 1 | 10,390 | All invited (15) | All invited (15) | All invited (15) |
Diagnostic and Interventional Radiologist 253917 | June 26 | 85 | 4–5 | 3–4 | 1–1 | 0 | 85July 26 | 85July 26 | 15 | 2 | 647 | All invited (15) | All invited (15) | All invited (15) |
Paediatrician 253321 | June 26 | 75 | 3–4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 407–416 | 80Aug 26 | 75June 26 | 14 | 6 | 473 | All invited (14) | All invited (14) | All invited (14) |
Sheetmetal Trades Worker 322211 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 1–1 | 485–485 | 85July 26 | 85July 26 | 14 | 3 | 486 | All invited (14) | All invited (14) | All invited (14) |
Orthotist or Prosthetist 251912 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 1–1 | 455–455 | 80Apr 26 | 80Apr 26 | 14 | 1 | 456 | All invited (14) | All invited (14) | All invited (14) |
Specialist Physicians nec 253399 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 4–5 | 407–416 | 85Sept 26 | 70Mar 26 | 14 | 4 | 473 | All invited (14) | All invited (14) | All invited (14) |
Fibrous Plasterer 333211 | June 26 | 65 | 5–6 | 3–4 | 6–7 | 379–390 | 70June 26 | 70Sept 26 | 14 | 9 | 450 | All invited (14) | All invited (14) | All invited (14) |
Registered Nurse (Developmental Disability) 254416 | June 26 | 80 | 3–4 | 2–2 | 3–3 | 2,899–3,993 | 75July 26 | 75July 26 | 13 | 1 | 10,390 | All invited (13) | All invited (13) | All invited (13) |
Roof Plumber 334115 | June 26 | 65 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 6–7 | 693–722 | 65Apr 26 | 65Sept 26 | 13 | 10 | 891 | All invited (13) | All invited (13) | All invited (13) |
Dancer or Choreographer 211112 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 4–5 | 495–496 | 80Mar 26 | 75Feb 25 | 12 | 4 | 500 | All invited (12) | All invited (12) | All invited (12) |
Lift Mechanic 341113 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 1–1 | 1,129–1,197 | 80Nov 25 | 80Nov 25 | 12 | 1 | 1,594 | All invited (12) | All invited (12) | All invited (12) |
Locksmith 323313 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | 500 | All invited (12) | All invited (12) | All invited (12) |
Welfare Centre Manager 134214 | June 26 | 85 | — | 1–1 | 1–1 | 443–446 | 80Aug 26 | 80Aug 26 | 10 | 0 | 464 | All invited (10) | All invited (10) | All invited (10) |
Joiner 331213 | June 26 | 65 | 9–11 | 4–5 | 7–8 | 0 | 60Dec 25 | 55Aug 26 | 10 | 6 | 908 | All invited (10) | All invited (10) | All invited (10) |
Cartographer 232213 | June 26 | 85 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 236–255 | 85Mar 26 | 85Mar 26 | 8 | 1 | 372 | All invited (8) | All invited (8) | All invited (8) |
Surgeon (General) 253511 | June 26 | 85 | — | 2–2 | 2–2 | 464–464 | 75Mar 26 | 75Mar 26 | 8 | 1 | 477 | All invited (8) | All invited (8) | All invited (8) |
Educational Psychologist 272312 | Aug 25 | 85 | 1–1 | — | — | 791–820 | 85Aug 26 | 85Aug 26 | 8 | 2 | 992 | All invited (8) | All invited (8) | All invited (8) |
Orthopaedic Surgeon 253514 | June 26 | 85 | 2–2 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 464–464 | 85Aug 26 | 85Aug 26 | 8 | 1 | 477 | All invited (8) | All invited (8) | All invited (8) |
Barrister 271111 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 3–4 | 2–2 | 493–494 | 80Feb 26 | 80Feb 26 | 7 | 5 | 500 | All invited (7) | All invited (7) | All invited (7) |
Cardiologist 253312 | June 26 | 80 | 2–2 | 4–5 | 1–1 | 407–416 | 80Sept 26 | 80Sept 26 | 7 | 1 | 473 | All invited (7) | All invited (7) | All invited (7) |
Stonemason 331112 | June 26 | 65 | 6–7 | 4–5 | 3–3 | 95–139 | 65May 26 | 65May 26 | 7 | 5 | 399 | All invited (7) | All invited (7) | All invited (7) |
Drainer 334113 | June 26 | 65 | 3–4 | 2–2 | 3–3 | 693–722 | 65May 26 | 65May 26 | 7 | 6 | 891 | All invited (7) | All invited (7) | All invited (7) |
Intensive Care Specialist 253317 | June 26 | 80 | 4–5 | 3–4 | 2–2 | 407–416 | 75Dec 25 | 75Dec 25 | 6 | 1 | 473 | All invited (6) | All invited (6) | All invited (6) |
Neurologist 253318 | Nov 25 | 80 | 2–2 | 1–1 | — | 407–416 | 80Aug 26 | 80Aug 26 | 6 | 1 | 473 | All invited (6) | All invited (6) | All invited (6) |
Fitter-Welder 323213 | — | — | — | — | — | 829–834 | — | — | 5 | — | 873 | All invited (5) | All invited (5) | All invited (5) |
Gastroenterologist 253316 | June 26 | 85 | 1–1 | — | 1–1 | 407–416 | 85Dec 25 | 85Dec 25 | 5 | 1 | 473 | All invited (5) | All invited (5) | All invited (5) |
Gasfitter 334114 | June 26 | 70 | 3–4 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 693–722 | 70Dec 25 | 70Dec 25 | 5 | 4 | 891 | All invited (5) | All invited (5) | All invited (5) |
Motorcycle Mechanic 321213 | Nov 25 | 85 | — | 1–1 | — | 0 | 85Apr 25 | 85Apr 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | All invited (4) | All invited (4) | All invited (4) |
Radiocommunications Technician 313211 | — | — | — | — | — | 428–429 | — | — | 4 | — | 438 | All invited (4) | All invited (4) | All invited (4) |
Electrician (Special Class) 341112 | June 26 | 65 | 12–14 | 10–12 | 1–1 | 1,129–1,197 | 65Feb 26 | 65Feb 26 | 4 | 1 | 1,594 | All invited (4) | All invited (4) | All invited (4) |
Pathologist 253915 | Nov 25 | 75 | — | 1–1 | — | 0 | 75Sept 26 | 75Sept 26 | 3 | 1 | 647 | All invited (3) | All invited (3) | All invited (3) |
Horse Trainer 361112 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 465 | All invited (3) | All invited (3) | All invited (3) |
Music Director 211212 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 1–1 | 490–491 | 70Aug 26 | 70Aug 26 | 3 | 0 | 500 | All invited (3) | All invited (3) | All invited (3) |
Footballer 452411 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 1–1 | 499–499 | 80Mar 25 | 80Mar 25 | 3 | 1 | 500 | All invited (3) | All invited (3) | All invited (3) |
Conservator 234911 | Aug 25 | 90 | 1–1 | — | — | 266–291 | 90Sept 26 | 90Sept 26 | 3 | 1 | 441 | All invited (3) | All invited (3) | All invited (3) |
Urologist 253518 | June 26 | 100 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 464–464 | 100June 26 | 100June 26 | 3 | 1 | 477 | All invited (3) | All invited (3) | All invited (3) |
Ophthalmologist 253914 | June 26 | 80 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 0 | 85Aug 26 | 85Aug 26 | 3 | 2 | 647 | All invited (3) | All invited (3) | All invited (3) |
Nuclear Medicine Technologist 251213 | June 26 | 80 | 2–2 | — | 1–1 | 632–663 | 70Feb 25 | 70Feb 25 | 2 | 0 | 847 | All invited (2) | All invited (2) | All invited (2) |
Medical Oncologist 253314 | Nov 25 | 80 | — | 1–1 | — | 407–416 | 70Aug 25 | 70Aug 25 | 2 | 0 | 473 | All invited (2) | All invited (2) | All invited (2) |
Organisational Psychologist 272313 | June 26 | 80 | — | 1–1 | 1–1 | 791–820 | 65June 25 | 65June 25 | 2 | 0 | 992 | All invited (2) | All invited (2) | All invited (2) |
Teacher of the Hearing Impaired 241512 | — | — | — | — | — | 514–517 | — | — | 2 | — | 537 | All invited (2) | All invited (2) | All invited (2) |
Technical Cable Jointer 342212 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 485 | All invited (2) | All invited (2) | All invited (2) |
Cardiothoracic Surgeon 253512 | Nov 24 | 85 | — | — | — | 464–464 | — | — | 2 | 0 | 477 | All invited (2) | All invited (2) | All invited (2) |
Dermatologist 253911 | June 26 | 85 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 0 | 85Apr 26 | 85Apr 26 | 2 | 1 | 647 | All invited (2) | All invited (2) | All invited (2) |
Thoracic Medicine Specialist 253324 | June 26 | 95 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 407–416 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | 1 | 0 | 473 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Shipwright 399112 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 1–1 | 464–467 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | 1 | 0 | 483 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Teacher of the Sight Impaired 241513 | — | — | — | — | — | 514–517 | — | — | 1 | — | 537 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Clinical Haematologist 253313 | Dec 23 | 65 | — | — | — | 407–416 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 473 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Radiation Oncologist 253918 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | 1 | — | 647 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Nursing Clinical Director 134212 | Nov 24 | 115 | — | — | — | 443–446 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 464 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Endocrinologist 253315 | June 26 | 80 | — | — | 1–1 | 407–416 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | 1 | 1 | 473 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Renal Medicine Specialist 253322 | — | — | — | — | — | 407–416 | — | — | 1 | — | 473 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Plastic and Reconstructive Surgeon 253517 | Dec 23 | 70 | — | — | — | 464–464 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 477 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Small Engine Mechanic 321214 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | — | — | 1 | — | 0 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Neurosurgeon 253513 | Dec 23 | 80 | — | — | — | 464–464 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 477 | All invited (1) | All invited (1) | All invited (1) |
Early Childhood (Pre-primary School) Teacher
241111
13,352
Active EOIs
Aug 25
430–507
Nov 25
283–332
Spots left (FY)
188–314
If floor invited
90July 26
If anchored invited
90Aug 26
Chef
351311
10,551
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Software Engineer
261313
9,448
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Civil Engineer
233211
8,603
Active EOIs
Closed this year
ICT Business Analyst
261111
7,745
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Registered Nurses (nec)
254499
7,444
Active EOIs
Aug 25
886–1,044
Nov 25
1,342–1,575
June 26
1,524–1,773
Spots left (FY)
2,899–3,993
If floor invited
75Jan 26
If anchored invited
75Feb 26
Mechanical Engineer
233512
7,415
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Accountant (General)
221111
6,957
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Developer Programmer
261312
6,750
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Engineering Technologist
233914
5,811
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Analyst Programmer
261311
5,581
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Systems Analyst
261112
5,127
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Electrical Engineer
233311
4,283
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Software and Applications Programmers (nec)
261399
3,946
Active EOIs
Closed this year
Computer Network and Systems Engineer
263111
3,630
Active EOIs
Closed this year
External Auditor
221213
3,372
Active EOIs
Closed this year
ICT Security Specialist
262112
3,067
Active EOIs
Secondary School Teacher
241411
2,873
Active EOIs
Aug 25
66–78
Nov 25
448–526
June 26
487–567
Spots left (FY)
1,666–1,836
If floor invited
75Apr 25
If anchored invited
75Oct 25
Motor Mechanic (General)
321211
2,809
Active EOIs
Both freezes were published before the round and stay on record.
| Unit group | 8 October 2026 freeze cutoff · date of effect, small → big round | 9 October 2026 freeze cutoff · date of effect, small → big round | What moved |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life Scientist (General)2345 | 853 May 2026 | 8525 Jan 2026 | DOE window−98 d |
| Early Childhood (Pre-primary School) Teacher2411 | 8513 Nov 2025 | 857 Oct 2025 | DOE window−37 d |
| Carpenter and Joiner3312 | 657 Sept 2026 | 6510 Aug 2026 | DOE window−28 d |
| Chemical Engineer2331 | 8518 Aug 2026 | 8524 July 2026 | DOE window−25 d |
| Construction Project Manager1331 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Engineering Manager1332 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Child Care Centre Manager1341 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Medical Administrator1342 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Arts Administrator or Manager1399 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Dancer or Choreographer2111 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Music Director2112 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Artistic Director2121 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Economist2243 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Land Economist2245 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Management Consultant2247 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Surveyor2322 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Mining Engineer (excluding Petroleum)2336 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Agricultural Consultant2341 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Chemist2342 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Conservation Officer2343 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Geologist2344 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Medical Laboratory Scientist2346 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Veterinarian2347 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Conservator2349 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Secondary School Teacher2414 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Special Needs Teacher2415 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Medical Diagnostic Radiographer2512 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Optometrist2514 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Health Promotion Officer2519 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Chiropractor2521 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Occupational Therapist2524 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Physiotherapist2525 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Podiatrist2526 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Audiologist2527 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| General Practitioner2531 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Specialist Physician (General Medicine)2533 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Psychiatrist2534 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Surgeon (General)2535 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Dermatologist2539 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Midwife2541 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Nurse Practitioner2544 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Multimedia Specialist2612 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Telecommunications Engineer2633 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Barrister2711 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Solicitor2713 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Clinical Psychologist2723 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Social Worker2725 | 802 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8010 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Electrical Engineering Draftsperson3123 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Radiocommunications Technician3132 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Automotive Electrician3211 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Sheetmetal Trades Worker3222 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Metal Fabricator3223 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Fitter (General)3232 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Locksmith3233 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Panelbeater3241 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Painting Trades Worker3322 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic3421 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Electrical Linesworker3422 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Business Machine Mechanic3423 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Dog Handler or Trainer3611 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Cabinetmaker3941 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Boat Builder and Repairer3991 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Diving Instructor (Open Water)4523 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Footballer4524 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8510 Aug 2026 → 9 Sept 2026 | DOE window−23 d |
| Architect2321 | 8515 Sept 2026 | 8531 Aug 2026 | DOE window−15 d |
| Actuary2241 | 852 Sept 2026 → 25 Sept 2026 | 8511 Sept 2026 | DOE window−14 d |
| Bricklayer3311 | 65whole pool | 65whole pool | invitations 181–181 → 232–232same verdict |
| Glazier3331 | 65whole pool | 65whole pool | invitations 16–16 → 20–20same verdict |
| Fibrous Plasterer3332 | 65whole pool | 65whole pool | invitations 64–64 → 80–80same verdict |
| Wall and Floor Tiler3334 | 65whole pool | 65whole pool | invitations 173–173 → 219–219same verdict |
| Plumber (General)3341 | 65whole pool | 65whole pool | invitations 72–72 → 90–90same verdict |
| Electrician (General)3411 | 65whole pool | 65whole pool | invitations 200–200 → 245–245same verdict |
Each row compares the same group across the two freezes. One input changed: one month of new EOIs, at the pace of the last three monthly snapshots, was added to the 30 September 2026 pool for a round expected a month later. Groups close to their ceiling move most, because new higher-scoring EOIs take their remaining places.
We re-ran the new method blind on every past round we can check, using only data available before each round, and compared it with the previous method.
Each cell: share predicted exactly · share within 5 points · average error in points.
Across all five rounds: exact for 63% of the occupations it predicted, within 5 points for 92%, average error 2.4 points.
Limits: only five rounds can be checked (SkillSelect keeps 24 months of EOI data); the previous method could not be tested on 2024 rounds because 2024-25 occupation ceilings were never published; four of the five rounds use monthly data without dates of effect. The first pre-published test is the round expected by 31 October 2026.
Vs official June cutoffs: mean absolute error 3.6 pts · 87% within 5 pts · essentially unbiased (-0.1)
Measured across the 125 occupations we predicted and the official round invited.
Agricultural Consultant 234111 | 85≤ 16 Apr 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 58–69 | ~148–172 |
Architect 232111 | 85≤ 16 Jan 2026 | 85 | In range | 89–106 | ~83–97 |
Biotechnologist 234514 | 85≤ 7 May 2026 | 95 | 10 pts off | 87–104 | ~12–14 |
Boat Builder and Repairer 399111 | 80≤ 27 Jan 2026 | 80 | In range | 4–5 | ~8–9 |
Carpenter 331212 | 65≤ 21 May 2026 | 65 | In range | 698–832 | ~656–763 |
Environmental Consultant 234312 | 80≤ 28 Jan 2026 | 80 | In range | 115–137 | ~137–159 |
General Practitioner 253111 | 80≤ 20 Apr 2026 | 75 | 5 pts off | 260–310 | ~347–404 |
Glazier 333111 | 70–65≤ 24 Jan 2026 | 65 | In range | 8–10 | ~9–10 |
Land Economist 224511 | 80≤ 15 Jan 2026 | 80 | In range | 10–12 | ~16–19 |
Management Consultant 224711 | 85≤ 22 Apr 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 133–159 | ~249–290 |
Mining Engineer (excluding Petroleum) 233611 | 85≤ 10 Mar 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 42–50 | ~120–140 |
Other Spatial Scientist 232214 | 85–80≤ 14 Jan 2026 | 80 | In range | 30–36 | ~40–47 |
Petroleum Engineer 233612 | 85–80≤ 15 Sept 2025 | 80 | In range | 41–49 | ~76–88 |
Psychologist (nec) 272399 | 80≤ 16 Apr 2026 | 75 | 5 pts off | 55–66 | ~78–91 |
Registered Nurse (Disability and Rehabilitation) 254417 | 80–75≤ 14 Aug 2025 | 80 | In range | 19–23 | ~19–22 |
Registered Nurses (nec) 254499 | 80≤ 25 May 2026 | 75 | 5 pts off | 1286–1534 | ~1,524–1,773 |
Secondary School Teacher 241411 | 80–75≤ 19 Sept 2025 | 75 | In range | 445–531 | ~487–567 |
Solicitor 271311 | 85–80≤ 13 Nov 2025 | 80 | In range | 250–298 | ~386–449 |
Speech Pathologist 252712 | 85–80≤ 9 Jan 2026 | 75 | 5 pts off | 29–35 | ~79–92 |
Surveyor 232212 | 80≤ 30 Oct 2025 | 80 | In range | 13–16 | ~18–21 |
Telecommunications Engineer 263311 | 95≤ 23 Apr 2026 | 95 | In range | 24–29 | ~20–23 |
Valuer 224512 | 80≤ 15 Aug 2025 | 80 | In range | 16–19 | ~29–34 |
Veterinarian 234711 | 85–80≤ 12 Aug 2025 | 80 | In range | 84–100 | ~127–148 |
Wall and Floor Tiler 333411 | 65≤ 27 Apr 2026 | 65 | In range | 87–104 | ~88–102 |
Actuary 224111 | 80≤ 13 Feb 2026 | 90 | 10 pts off | 86–103 | ~13–15 |
Agricultural Scientist 234112 | 85≤ 21 Mar 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 33–39 | ~91–106 |
Airconditioning and Mechanical Services Plumber 334112 | 65–55≤ 28 Jan 2026 | 65 | In range | 15–18 | ~9–10 |
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic 342111 | — | 80 | — | — | ~2 |
Arts Administrator or Manager 139911 | 85–80≤ 3 July 2025 | 80 | In range | 8–10 | ~18–21 |
Audiologist 252711 | 75≤ 19 Feb 2026 | 75 | In range | 21–25 | ~19–22 |
Automotive Electrician 321111 | 85≤ 24 Apr 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 1–1 | ~9–10 |
Barrister 271111 | 75≤ 28 Feb 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 3–4 | ~2 |
Bricklayer 331111 | 65≤ 21 May 2026 | 65 | In range | 83–99 | ~76–88 |
Cabinetmaker 394111 | 85–80≤ 9 July 2025 | 80 | In range | 3–4 | ~5–6 |
Cardiologist 253312 | 70–65≤ 15 Sept 2025 | 80 | 10 pts off | 4–5 | ~1 |
Carpenter and Joiner 331211 | 70≤ 26 Apr 2026 | 65 | 5 pts off | 21–25 | ~34–40 |
Cartographer 232213 | 85≤ 25 Mar 2026 | 85 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
Chemist 234211 | 85–80≤ 4 July 2025 | 85 | In range | 83–99 | ~42–49 |
Child Care Centre Manager 134111 | 80≤ 11 Mar 2026 | 80 | In range | 4–5 | ~5–6 |
Chiropractor 252111 | 85≤ 24 Mar 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 3–4 | ~61–71 |
Clinical Psychologist 272311 | 75≤ 23 Oct 2025 | 75 | In range | 6–7 | ~6–7 |
Construction Project Manager 133111 | 85≤ 7 Jan 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 81–97 | ~402–468 |
Dancer or Choreographer 211112 | — | 80 | — | — | ~4–5 |
Dermatologist 253911 | 85≤ 3 Apr 2026 | 85 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
Diagnostic and Interventional Radiologist 253917 | 75–70≤ 19 Feb 2026 | 85 | 10 pts off | 3–4 | ~1 |
Drainer 334113 | 70≤ 28 Sept 2025 | 65 | 5 pts off | 2–2 | ~3 |
Economist 224311 | 85≤ 9 Apr 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 33–39 | ~89–104 |
Electrical Engineering Draftsperson 312311 | 85≤ 27 May 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 5–6 | ~18–21 |
Electrical Engineering Technician 312312 | 90–85≤ 2 Dec 2025 | 80 | 5 pts off | 24–29 | ~75–87 |
Electrician (General) 341111 | 65≤ 24 May 2026 | 65 | In range | 111–132 | ~88–102 |
Electrician (Special Class) 341112 | 65 | 65 | In range | 10–12 | ~1 |
Electronic Equipment Trades Worker 342313 | 80≤ 22 Dec 2025 | 80 | In range | 9–11 | ~18–21 |
Electronic Instrument Trades Worker (General) 342314 | 80≤ 20 Nov 2025 | 80 | In range | 2–2 | ~4–5 |
Electronic Instrument Trades Worker (Special Class) 342315 | 80≤ 1 Oct 2025 | 80 | In range | 2–2 | ~6–7 |
Electronics Engineer 233411 | — | 95 | — | — | ~10–12 |
Emergency Medicine Specialist 253912 | 80≤ 30 Mar 2026 | 75 | 5 pts off | 17–20 | ~19–22 |
Endocrinologist 253315 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Engineering Manager 133211 | 85–80≤ 6 Aug 2025 | 80 | In range | 19–23 | ~40–47 |
Environmental Manager 139912 | 85≤ 18 May 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 17–20 | ~35–41 |
Environmental Research Scientist 234313 | 85≤ 16 Apr 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 35–42 | ~49–57 |
Environmental Scientists nec 234399 | 85≤ 23 Feb 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 5–6 | ~16–19 |
Fibrous Plasterer 333211 | 70≤ 24 Apr 2026 | 65 | 5 pts off | 3–4 | ~6–7 |
Fitter (General) 323211 | 85≤ 20 May 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 8–10 | ~25–29 |
Fitter and Turner 323212 | — | 80 | — | — | ~2 |
Food Technologist 234212 | 85≤ 23 Apr 2026 | 85 | In range | 95–113 | ~64–74 |
Footballer 452411 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Forester 234113 | 80≤ 14 Mar 2026 | 80 | In range | 7–8 | ~8–9 |
Gasfitter 334114 | 70≤ 12 Dec 2025 | 70 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
Gastroenterologist 253316 | — | 85 | — | — | ~1 |
Geophysicist 234412 | 85≤ 27 Nov 2025 | 80 | 5 pts off | 5–6 | ~9–10 |
Hydrogeologist 234413 | 85≤ 19 Apr 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 4–5 | ~10–12 |
Intensive Care Specialist 253317 | 75–70≤ 23 Oct 2024 | 80 | 5 pts off | 3–4 | ~2 |
Joiner 331213 | 70–65≤ 21 Nov 2025 | 65 | In range | 4–5 | ~7–8 |
Landscape Architect 232112 | 85≤ 3 May 2026 | 85 | In range | 21–25 | ~15–17 |
Life Scientist (General) 234511 | 85≤ 22 May 2026 | 95 | 10 pts off | 70–83 | ~17–20 |
Life Scientist (nec) 234599 | 85≤ 14 Apr 2026 | 95 | 10 pts off | 26–31 | ~3 |
Lift Mechanic 341113 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Marine Biologist 234516 | 85≤ 18 Apr 2026 | 95 | 10 pts off | 11–13 | ~4–5 |
Medical Diagnostic Radiographer 251211 | 75≤ 30 Jan 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 51–61 | ~39–45 |
Medical Laboratory Scientist 234611 | 85≤ 8 Dec 2025 | 80 | 5 pts off | 26–31 | ~136–158 |
Medical Practitioners nec 253999 | 80≤ 22 Jan 2026 | 75 | 5 pts off | 173–206 | ~268–312 |
Medical Radiation Therapist 251212 | 75≤ 20 Nov 2025 | 80 | 5 pts off | 4–5 | ~2 |
Metal Fabricator 322311 | 80≤ 20 Nov 2025 | 80 | In range | 6–7 | ~12–14 |
Metal Machinist (First Class) 323214 | 85≤ 19 Jan 2026 | 85 | In range | 1–1 | ~2 |
Metallurgist 234912 | 85≤ 21 Feb 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 12–14 | ~22–26 |
Meteorologist 234913 | — | 85 | — | — | ~3 |
Microbiologist 234517 | 85≤ 16 Mar 2026 | 95 | 10 pts off | 24–29 | ~3 |
Midwife 254111 | 75≤ 22 Jan 2026 | 75 | In range | 31–37 | ~24–28 |
Multimedia Specialist 261211 | 95≤ 30 May 2026 | 95 | In range | 34–41 | ~17–20 |
Music Director 211212 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Musician (Instrumental) 211213 | 100≤ 22 Mar 2026 | 80 | 20 pts off | 1–1 | ~6–7 |
Natural and Physical Science Professionals nec 234999 | 85≤ 3 Apr 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 5–6 | ~18–21 |
Nuclear Medicine Technologist 251213 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Nurse Practitioner 254411 | 105≤ 8 May 2026 | 80 | 25 pts off | 1–1 | ~3 |
Obstetrician and Gynaecologist 253913 | 85≤ 22 May 2026 | 85 | In range | 2–2 | ~2 |
Occupational Therapist 252411 | 75≤ 2 Jan 2026 | 75 | In range | 117–140 | ~102–119 |
Ophthalmologist 253914 | 80≤ 23 May 2026 | 80 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
Optometrist 251411 | 80≤ 5 Mar 2026 | 80 | In range | 4–5 | ~7–8 |
Organisational Psychologist 272313 | 80≤ 24 May 2026 | 80 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
Orthopaedic Surgeon 253514 | 85≤ 5 Feb 2026 | 85 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
Orthotist or Prosthetist 251912 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Osteopath 252112 | 65 | 80 | 15 pts off | 0–0 | ~4–5 |
Paediatrician 253321 | 80–75≤ 22 May 2026 | 75 | In range | 4–5 | ~4–5 |
Panelbeater 324111 | — | 80 | — | — | ~4–5 |
Physicist 234914 | 85–80≤ 14 Oct 2025 | 80 | In range | 24–29 | ~38–44 |
Physiotherapist 252511 | 75≤ 28 Feb 2026 | 75 | In range | 202–241 | ~163–190 |
Plumber (General) 334111 | 60–45≤ 25 Mar 2026 | 65 | 5 pts off | 35–42 | ~26–30 |
Podiatrist 252611 | 75≤ 28 Oct 2025 | 75 | In range | 8–10 | ~7–8 |
Primary Health Organisation Manager 134213 | 80≤ 5 Oct 2025 | 80 | In range | 4–5 | ~11–13 |
Psychiatrist 253411 | 85–80≤ 13 Apr 2026 | 80 | In range | 8–10 | ~8–9 |
Registered Nurse (Child and Family Health) 254413 | 80–75≤ 19 Sept 2025 | 80 | In range | 4–5 | ~4–5 |
Registered Nurse (Developmental Disability) 254416 | 80≤ 4 Apr 2026 | 80 | In range | 2–2 | ~3 |
Registered Nurse (Medical Practice) 254421 | 80≤ 20 May 2026 | 75 | 5 pts off | 15–18 | ~24–28 |
Registered Nurse (Medical) 254418 | 75≤ 21 Oct 2025 | 75 | In range | 172–205 | ~142–165 |
Registered Nurse (Mental Health) 254422 | 80–75≤ 26 Sept 2025 | 75 | In range | 79–94 | ~82–95 |
Registered Nurse (Paediatrics) 254425 | 75≤ 12 Jan 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 43–51 | ~30–35 |
Registered Nurse (Perioperative) 254423 | 75≤ 20 Feb 2026 | 75 | In range | 93–111 | ~62–72 |
Registered Nurse (Surgical) 254424 | 75≤ 10 Jan 2026 | 75 | In range | 96–114 | ~70–81 |
Registered Nurse (Aged Care) 254412 | 75≤ 27 Jan 2026 | 75 | In range | 365–435 | ~250–291 |
Registered Nurse (Community Health) 254414 | 75≤ 29 Mar 2026 | 75 | In range | 21–25 | ~13–15 |
Registered Nurse (Critical Care and Emergency) 254415 | 75≤ 19 Nov 2025 | 75 | In range | 189–225 | ~159–185 |
Roof Plumber 334115 | 65≤ 20 Apr 2026 | 65 | In range | 5–6 | ~6–7 |
Sheetmetal Trades Worker 322211 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Shipwright 399112 | — | 80 | — | — | ~1 |
Social Worker 272511 | 75≤ 7 Dec 2025 | 75 | In range | 412–491 | ~404–470 |
Solid Plasterer 333212 | 65≤ 11 Mar 2026 | 65 | In range | 11–13 | ~18–21 |
Sonographer 251214 | 65 | 85 | 20 pts off | 23–27 | ~2 |
Special Education Teachers nec 241599 | 85≤ 13 Jan 2026 | 85 | In range | 2–2 | ~2 |
Special Needs Teacher 241511 | 75≤ 20 Jan 2026 | 75 | In range | 8–10 | ~5–6 |
Specialist Physician (General Medicine) 253311 | 75≤ 18 Feb 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 6–7 | ~2 |
Specialist Physicians nec 253399 | 100≤ 17 Mar 2026 | 80 | 20 pts off | 1–1 | ~4–5 |
Statistician 224113 | 85≤ 8 Mar 2026 | 90 | 5 pts off | 153–182 | ~88–102 |
Stonemason 331112 | 65≤ 1 June 2026 | 65 | In range | 4–5 | ~3 |
Surgeon (General) 253511 | 85≤ 4 May 2026 | 85 | In range | 2–2 | ~2 |
Telecommunications Network Engineer 263312 | 95–90≤ 18 June 2025 | 95 | In range | 8–10 | ~4–5 |
Tennis Coach 452316 | 85≤ 13 Jan 2026 | 80 | 5 pts off | 2–2 | ~7–8 |
Thoracic Medicine Specialist 253324 | 95≤ 11 Mar 2026 | 95 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
Urologist 253518 | 75≤ 1 Oct 2025 | 100 | 25 pts off | 1–1 | ~1 |
Welder (First Class) 322313 | 85≤ 30 Nov 2025 | 80 | 5 pts off | 9–11 | ~60–70 |
Welfare Centre Manager 134214 | 85≤ 8 Feb 2026 | 85 | In range | 1–1 | ~1 |
| Across 140 occupations | — | — | 72/125 | 7,400–8,828 | ~8,594–9,991 |
Agricultural Consultant
234111 · —
Architect
232111 · —
Biotechnologist
234514 · —
Boat Builder and Repairer
399111 · Onshore
Carpenter
331212 · Onshore
Environmental Consultant
234312 · Onshore
General Practitioner
253111 · Onshore
Glazier
333111 · Onshore
Land Economist
224511 · —
Management Consultant
224711 · —
Across 140 occupations
Community-reported cutoffs are unofficial and may differ from the official figures. † Invitation counts are estimates — the active EOI queue includes backlogged applications.
† This round's prediction was computed from the pre-round EOI snapshot but logged after the round happened, not frozen in advance. Rounds from FY 2026-27 onward are frozen before the round runs.
Know a more exact cut-off score or Date of Effect for an occupation? Send us the details via feedback — thank you!
Data-driven scenarios from the latest SkillSelect EOI snapshot as at 30 September 2026. These are ImmiTrend model estimates, not official predictions. Source: Department of Home Affairs / SkillSelect.
The subclass 189 independent skilled visa is allocated through SkillSelect invitation rounds. EOIs are ranked by total points score (highest first), with Date of Effect (earliest first) breaking ties at the same score. For the next round we predict each occupation's cut-off from the size of the round and today's EOI pool, treating occupation ceilings as a cap, not a target. Each prediction carries a confidence label from a cross-check, and the method was backtested blind on five past rounds.
The explorer below is a what-if tool: it ranks all active EOIs by points (then DOE) and finds the threshold at each round size you choose. Raising your points generally improves your rank; if a points change updates your DOE, the new DOE is later but only orders EOIs within the same score.