189FederalCommunity
75- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic
As at September 2026, Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic (ANZSCO 342111) has 54 EOIs in the subclass 189 pool (1 at 85+ points), 108 in 190 and 147 in 491. Last 189 invitation: 80 points on 4 June 2026. Latest state cut-offs: 190 at 75 points (20 May 2026) and 491 at 70 points (5 May 2026). Cut-offs have held steady across recent rounds.
⬡ Personal report
Checking your access…
01
Latest Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic invitation rounds & points
Subclass 189
Stable80pts
4 June 2026 · ~26 invited
Up from 70 · 1 round so far this FY
70–80 pts over last 3 roundsⓘ
Subclass 190
↓ Easing75pts
20 May 2026
Up from 65 · 4 rounds so far this FY
65–75 pts over last 6 roundsⓘ
Subclass 491
Stable70pts
5 May 2026
Unchanged · 2 rounds so far this FY
65–70 pts over last 3 roundsⓘ
189 places this financial year
FY2026-27 · estimated500est. ceiling429est. 189 places390–406est. left after 15 Oct
5–9%
71 to 186 / 190 / 491~23–39 invited by 189open
15 Oct cut-off for the whole group: 65 pts
ImmiTrend estimate — official figures not yet published. FY2025-26 official: 500 ceiling, 457 remaining · Invited counts from community round reports · EOIs from SkillSelect 9 Oct 2026, before the round · How we estimate · All occupation ceilings →
Subclass 189 wait estimates · September 2026 EOI pool
80
Points
1
Ahead
less than a month
3/3
Met the cut-off
85
Points
1
Ahead
less than a month
3/3
Met the cut-off
These are model averages across the queue — for your personal rank and wait based on your own DOE, jump to Check My Score below.
"Met the cut-off" counts how many of the last 3 subclass-189 rounds your points would have been at or above the round's minimum.
Figures describe observed invitation rounds and the current EOI pool — indicative only, not migration advice.
189 rank can be estimated from points and DOE; 190 and state/territory-nominated 491 are selected by each jurisdiction under its own policy and priorities, so a national EOI queue rank doesn't apply.
02
How this occupation ranks
189
Where it ranks · subclass 189 · last 2 FY
Outside top 50 by volume
of 196 occupations invited
▲ Rising
⋯
This occupation · most invited →least invited
2 invites last 2 FY · busiest 6,052 · typical 48
Most consistently invited
invited 1 of 5 roundsOccasional
oldest → newest · filled = invited
Year over year
0last FY
2this FY
▲ +2Round to round · last 2 FY
2
▲ Rising · invites per round
03
Is 70–80 points enough for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic?
Can I get invited for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic with my points?
04
189 Invitation Predictions
What points and Date of Effect may be needed for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic in the next 189 round?
NEXT 189 ROUND · FROZEN 9 Oct 2026projected cutoff 85 pts · DOE 10 Aug 2026 – 9 Sept 2026this group 0 invitationsGet your verdict →
Calculate invitation predictions
Compare all occupationsSee the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.
At a glance — by round size
If 10 invited
70DOE ≤ Oct 24
If 20 invited
70DOE ≤ Sept 26
If 50 invited
50DOE ≤ Feb 25
If 100 invited
All invited (53)
If 200 invited
All invited (53)
If 500 invited
All invited (53)
If 1000 invited
All invited (53)
Or calculate a custom number
189 prediction — full row
This occupation's complete row from the 189 invitation-prediction table: latest cutoff, this financial year's estimated round sizes, spots left, and predicted cutoffs at each scenario.
| Last round | Cutoff | Aug 25 | Nov 25 | June 26 | Spots left (FY) | If floor invited | If anchored invited | Active EOIs | At/above | Ceiling remaining | If 10 invited | If 20 invited | If 50 invited | If 100 invited | If 200 invited | If 500 invited | If 1000 invited |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 26 | 80 | — | — | 2–2 | 455–455 | 75DOE ≤ Nov 25 | 75DOE ≤ Nov 25 | 53 | 1 | 457 | 70DOE ≤ Oct 24 | 70DOE ≤ Sept 26 | 50DOE ≤ Feb 25 | All invited (53) | All invited (53) | All invited (53) | All invited (53) |
05
Cut-offs & capacity
189 Occupation CeilingTier 3
2025-26 · Air Conditioning and Refrigeration Mechanics (3421xx)
Ceiling
500
1.0% multiplier
Grants (190/491/ENS)
43
Remaining for 189
457
Spots left (FY)
455 – 455
Minimum Points Invited
All sources · 17 data points
Est. Invitations Per Round
Federal SkillSelect · 4 rounds
Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.
Point Reality Gauge
EOI minimum vs actual invited
Minimum (65)Actual (80)
Key Insights for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic
- ↑
Points are rising. Recent invited scores for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic are rising, which suggests competition may be increasing. Higher points generally improve 189 ranking; 190/491 outcomes still depend on each state and territory's policy and priorities.
- ⚠
Still 15 points above the EOI minimum. Despite current trends, Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 80 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.
- ℹ
7 rounds so far in FY25-26. Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic has been invited in 7 invitation rounds this financial year. The round count alone doesn't indicate future demand or guarantee invitations.
06
A profile of the invited
07
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic EOI queue & points distribution
How many people are ahead of me in the EOI pool for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic?
EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)
09/2026 snapshot · 309 submitted EOIs in queue
Peak Points
70
At 80+ pts
63
Below Cutoff
246
EOI Submission Trends
Feb 24 – Sep 26
Latest
309
MoM Change
0 (0.0%)
Peak Month
Jan 26 (312)
EOI Queue Age
Backlog by submission month — 09/2026 snapshot
Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.
≥
In Queue
309
Oldest Waiting
Sep 24
Total Invited
119
Likelyⓘ
~13 mo ~ ~14 mo
Nov 2027~13 mo
Dec 2027Likely
Jan 2028~15 mo
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.
Invitation Trends
Feb 24 – Sep 26
Latest
78
MoM Change
-3 (-3.7%)
Peak Month
Jun 26 (85)
08
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic round history
Round History
Source:
| Date | Subclass | Source | Points | Est. Invitations | Salary | DOE / EOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 75 | — | — | offshore | |
| 4 Jun 2026 | 189 | Federal | 80 | 2–2 | — | — | |
| 20 May 2026 | N/A | WAOfficial | 75 | — | — | in_state | |
| 5 May 2026 | 491 | QLDCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 3 Mar 2026 | N/A | WAOfficial | 65 | — | — | onshore | |
| 5 Feb 2026 | 491 | QLDCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 1 Feb 2026 | N/A | WAOfficial | 65 | — | — | offshore | |
| 1 Jan 2026 | N/A | WAOfficial | 65 | — | — | offshore | |
| 4 Mar 2025 | 190 | QLDCommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 18 Feb 2025 | 190 | QLDCommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 3 Dec 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 10 Oct 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 80 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 19 Apr 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 75 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 5 Apr 2024 | 190 | SACommunity | 70 | — | 💰20000 | offshore | |
| 13 Mar 2024 | 190 | SACommunity | 70 | — | 💰20000 | offshore | |
| 8 Dec 2022 | 189 | Federal | 70 | ~90Est. | — | — | |
| 8 Dec 2022 | 491 | Federal | 65 | — | — | — | |
| 22 Aug 2022 | 189 | Federal | 70 | ~31Est. | — | — |
- ··
- 189Federal80
- Est. Invitations
- 2–2
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - N/AWAOfficial75
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- in_state
·· - 491QLDCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - N/AWAOfficial65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491QLDCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - N/AWAOfficial65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - N/AWAOfficial65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190QLDCommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190QLDCommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity75
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 190SACommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰20000
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190SACommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰20000
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 189Federal70
- Est. Invitations
- ~90Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 491Federal65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189Federal70
- Est. Invitations
- ~31Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
··
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced
09
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic 190 / 491 state nominations
Which states nominate Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic for 190 or 491?
190/491 State Nominations
EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation
66EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
11(17%)
31M Trend
↑ 2200%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
48EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
11(23%)
31M Trend
↑ 1433%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
40EOIs
Building & Construction
Peak Bracket
70pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
10(25%)
31M Trend
↑ 867%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
50EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
10(20%)
31M Trend
↑ 1900%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
66EOIs
Building and Construction
Peak Bracket
75pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
13(20%)
31M Trend
↑ 4500%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
17EOIs
Peak Bracket
75pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
5(29%)
31M Trend
↑ 1400%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
27EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
5(19%)
31M Trend
↑ 1150%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
23EOIs
Peak Bracket
75pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
8(35%)
31M Trend
↑ 1000%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.
10
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic visa grants
How many Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic visas were actually granted, and through which visa?
In 2024-25, 43 skilled visas went to Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic main applicants, the 163rd most of 581 occupations. Most came through employer sponsorship (186: 34).
25-26* is provisional: the full year to June 2026 from a Home Affairs data release. Hover for the figures; the official release is expected in late 2026.
| Visa | Share of total | 2024-25 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | −32% | ||
79% | 34 | −19% | |
12% | 5 | — | |
7% | 3 | — | |
2% | 1 | — | |
0% | 0 | — |
494 includes the closed 187 (peak 14 in 2015-16). 491 includes the closed 489 (peak 11 in 2018-19). — means last year had fewer than 20 grants. Tap a colour to show or hide its line. The grey area is the total.
Show the numbers for every year
| Year | Total | 186 | 190 | 491 | 189 | 494 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | 70 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 |
| 2016-17 | 61 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 8 |
| 2017-18 | 47 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2018-19 | 45 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| 2019-20 | 36 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 2020-21 | 36 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2021-22 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | 61 | 32 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 3 |
| 2023-24 | 63 | 42 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 2024-25 | 43 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Where they were granted
Employer location, 2024-25. Coloured by how each state's share of Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic 186 grants compares with its usual share of all 186 grants.
- 1NSWToo few to saytoo few to compare9
- 2QLDToo few to saytoo few to compare9
- 3SAToo few to saytoo few to compare6
- 4WAToo few to saytoo few to compare5
- 5VICToo few to saytoo few to compare4
- 6NTToo few to saytoo few to compare1
- 7TASToo few to saytoo few to compare0
- 8ACTToo few to saytoo few to compare0
- More than usual (1.3× or more)
- About usual
- Less than usual (under 0.75×)
- Too few to say (under 10)
Who was granted
Country of citizenship, 2022-23 to 2024-25 combined.
- 1United Kingdom16.2%
- 2India15.6%
- 3South Africa10.2%
- 4Philippines9.6%
- 5Zimbabwe4.8%
Data: July 2015 to June 2025, main applicants only. Occupation is recorded only for main applicants in the Skill stream, so partner, parent, business and 858 visas can't appear here, and temporary visas such as 482 aren't in this data. Source: Department of Home Affairs, BP0068 (CC BY). The views expressed are those of ImmiTrend and not necessarily those of the Department.
11
Common questions about Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic
What points do you need for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic subclass 189?
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic was last invited for subclass 189 on 4 June 2026 at 80 points. In the last 3 rounds in which it was invited, the cut-off ranged 70–80 points.
Is the Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic subclass 189 cut-off rising or easing?
The subclass 189 cut-off for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic has held steady across recent rounds.
Is 85, 90 or 95 points enough to be invited for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic (subclass 189)?
In the last 3 subclass 189 rounds in which Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic was invited (most recently on 4 June 2026), the cut-off ranged 70–80 points. Your points would have met the cut-off in: 95 points in 3 of 3, 90 points in 3 of 3, 85 points in 3 of 3, 80 points in 3 of 3, 75 points in 2 of 3, 70 points in 2 of 3. Meeting a previous cut-off does not guarantee a future invitation — invitations also depend on your Date of Effect, the round size and other applicants.
Check how your own points and Date of Effect rank →What are the latest 190 and 491 cut-offs for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic?
For Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic: subclass 190 was last invited at 75 points (20 May 2026). subclass 491 was last invited at 70 points (5 May 2026).
How do I compare to applicants who got invited for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic?
Subclass 190 and state/territory-nominated 491 invitations are issued by each state and territory under its own policy and priorities — not by national EOI queue order. ImmiTrend's Check My Score compares your points, English, salary, partner status, onshore/offshore status and NAATI against community-reported invited samples for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic. Samples may be incomplete — for reference only, not a guarantee.
Which states nominate Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic for 190/491?
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic has state-nomination activity in: NSW, QLD, VIC, WA. State lists and quotas change each program year — check each state's official list.
How many subclass 189 places are likely left this FY2026-27 for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic?
Around 429 subclass 189 places are projected for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic in FY2026-27. The Department of Home Affairs has not yet published FY2026-27 occupation ceilings, so this is an ImmiTrend estimate based on prior-year ceilings and current pool data.
How long is the wait for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic at 80 points (subclass 189)?
At 80 points, the estimated subclass 189 wait for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic is less than a month, based on the September 2026 EOI pool.
How long is the wait for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic at 85 points (subclass 189)?
At 85 points, the estimated subclass 189 wait for Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic is less than a month, based on the September 2026 EOI pool.
How often are Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic invitation rounds held?
Subclass 189: no federal rounds have been held yet in FY2026-27; the most recent was on 4 June 2026, and in FY2025-26 there were 3 federal rounds (21 August 2025, 13 November 2025 and 4 June 2026), with Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic invited in 1 of them. State nominations in FY2025-26: subclass 190 invitations on 4 round dates and subclass 491 on 2 round dates (QLD, WA; 65–75 points).
How many Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic visas were granted in 2024-25?
43 main applicants: 34 through 186, 5 through 190, 3 through 491 and 1 through 494.
Related:Guide: check your 189 invitation chancesFirst 189 round of 2026-27, October update: every occupation’s projected cutoff189 invitation chances
Last updated 30 September 2026Sources:OfficialEstimatedCommunity-reported
Community-reported and estimated figures are indicative and may be incomplete — treat them as a guide, not a guarantee. Official figures come from Home Affairs / SkillSelect.
General information only — not migration advice.
Compiled by ImmiTrend from official SkillSelect data.