State nomination in 2026-27: which state gives you the best odds?

Only 1 of 8 states have confirmed 2026-27 allocations so far. The remaining states' last-year numbers are shown for reference until their announcements land.

Allocations still being announced1 of 8 announced
Western Australia — 43.7:1 · awaiting 2026-27 announcementNorthern Territory — 25.3:1 · awaiting 2026-27 announcementSouth Australia — 45.7:1 · awaiting 2026-27 announcementQueensland — 23.9:1 · awaiting 2026-27 announcementNew South Wales — 46.6:1 · awaiting 2026-27 announcementVictoria — 32.9:1 · awaiting 2026-27 announcementTasmania — 19.4:1Australian Capital Territory — 44.7:1 · awaiting 2026-27 announcementWA43.7:1NT25.3:1SA45.7:1QLD23.9:1NSW46.6:1VIC32.9:1TAS19.4:1ACT44.7:1

Colored by competition tier · click a state — the rank board and card follow

Rank — EOIs per 190 place, best odds firstEOIs : 1 place
TASTasmaniaModerate

190 places: 1,250 · 491 places: 800 · EOI queue 24,288

Open Tasmania detail

190 = Skilled Nominated visa places · 491 = Skilled Work Regional visa places · EOI queue = candidates naming this state · N:1 = queued EOIs per 190 place (lower is better)

#1
TASTasmania
19.4:1Moderate
190 1,250
491 800
EOI queue 24,288
#2
QLDQueenslandlast FY
23.9:1Moderate
190 1,850
491 750
EOI queue 44,159
#3
NTNorthern Territorylast FY
25.3:1Moderate
190 850
491 800
EOI queue 21,504
#4
VICVictorialast FY
32.9:1High
190 2,700
491 700
EOI queue 88,762
#5
WAWestern Australialast FY
43.7:1High
190 2,000
491 1,400
EOI queue 87,301
#6
ACTAustralian Capital Territorylast FY
44.7:1High
190 800
491 800
EOI queue 35,778
#7
SASouth Australialast FY
45.7:1Very high
190 1,350
491 900
EOI queue 61,704
#8
NSWNew South Waleslast FY
46.6:1Very high
190 2,100
491 1,500
EOI queue 97,785
190 — Skilled Nominated491 — Skilled Work Regional
Data source: Program Update - July 2026 - 2026-27 Program AllocationsMigration Tasmania (Tasmanian Government)

EOI Demand by State

How many Expressions of Interest are in the queue for each state, based on the latest SkillSelect snapshot.

Note: One EOI may appear in multiple states if the applicant nominated several states. Counts shown are not exclusive.

TASTasmania
EOI Queue24,288
Places1,250
Ratio19.4:1
NSWNSW
EOI Queue97,785
VICVIC
EOI Queue88,762
WAWA
EOI Queue87,301
SASA
EOI Queue61,704
QLDQLD
EOI Queue44,159
ACTACT
EOI Queue35,778
ANYANY
EOI Queue27,752
NTNT
EOI Queue21,504

EOI Queue Trend by State

Invited + Lodged Trend by State

Recent Invitation Rounds

Latest pre-invitations and approvals reported across states — filter by state and visa subclass.

Subclass
State
500 results
17 Aug 20261 invitation
NT491offshore
105pts

Electrical Engineer

233311community
26 June 20263 invitations
NT190onshore
70pts

Production or Plant Engineer

233513community
NT190onshore
90pts

Accountant (General)

221111community
TAS190onshore
80pts

Civil Engineering Technician

312212community
24 June 20261 invitation
NT491offshore
95pts

Supply and Distribution Manager

133611community
19 June 20262 invitations
NT491offshore
90pts

Health and Welfare Services Managers nec

134299community
NT491offshore
85pts

Geologist

234411community
16 June 20263 invitations
NT491offshore
90pts

Civil Engineer

233211community
NT491offshore
80pts

Policy Analyst

224412community
SA190onshore
80pts

Registered Nurses nec

254499community
All eight states as a table — places, fill, queue & competition
State / Territory190 Allocations491 AllocationsEOI QueueCompetition Ratio
Tasmania1,25080024,28819.4:1
Queensland (last FY)1,85075044,15923.9:1
Northern Territory (last FY)85080021,50425.3:1
Victoria (last FY)2,70070088,76232.9:1
Western Australia (last FY)2,0001,40087,30143.7:1
Australian Capital Territory (last FY)80080035,77844.7:1
South Australia (last FY)1,35090061,70445.7:1
New South Wales (last FY)2,1001,50097,78546.6:1

Frequently asked

Which state is easiest to get 190 or 491 nomination in?

In 2026-27, Tasmania had the least crowded queue (19.4 EOIs per 190 place). But state-level odds aren't personal odds — each state runs its own occupation list and minimum points, so check whether your occupation was actually invited there.

How many nomination places did each state get in 2026-27?

TAS 1,250 / 800; QLD / NT / VIC / WA / ACT / SA / NSW — awaiting 2026-27 announcement

What does "EOIs per place" mean?

The number of Expressions of Interest naming a state, divided by that state's 190 places. One EOI can nominate several states, so queues overlap and ratios overstate true competition somewhat — use them to compare states, not as personal probability.

When will the 2026-27 allocations be announced?

States receive allocations after the federal Program Update; announcements typically arrive between July and October. This page updates as each one lands.

Competition tiers: Lower < 15 EOIs per place · Moderate 15–30 · High 30–45 · Very high ≥ 45. Tiers compare states with each other, not your personal odds.

State and territory nomination explained

Subclass 190 and 491 visas require nomination from an Australian state or territory. Each state receives a fixed allocation of nomination places each financial year and sets its own occupation lists and eligibility rules.

This page shows the latest 190 and 491 allocations for every state and territory, alongside how many EOIs are competing for them. Comparing demand against each state's quota helps you target the nomination most likely to invite your occupation.

Last updated 17 August 2026Sources:OfficialCommunity-reported

Community-reported and estimated figures are indicative and may be incomplete — treat them as a guide, not a guarantee. Official figures come from Home Affairs / SkillSelect.

General information only — not migration advice.

Compiled by ImmiTrend from official SkillSelect data.