State nomination in 2026-27: which state gives you the best odds?
Only 1 of 8 states have confirmed 2026-27 allocations so far. The remaining states' last-year numbers are shown for reference until their announcements land.
Colored by competition tier · click a state — the rank board and card follow
190 = Skilled Nominated visa places · 491 = Skilled Work Regional visa places · EOI queue = candidates naming this state · N:1 = queued EOIs per 190 place (lower is better)
EOI Demand by State
How many Expressions of Interest are in the queue for each state, based on the latest SkillSelect snapshot.
Note: One EOI may appear in multiple states if the applicant nominated several states. Counts shown are not exclusive.
EOI Queue Trend by State
Invited + Lodged Trend by State
Recent Invitation Rounds
Latest pre-invitations and approvals reported across states — filter by state and visa subclass.
| State | Occupation | Subclass | Min Points | Residency | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | Architectural Draftsperson312111 | 190 | 90pts | offshore | community |
| State | Occupation | Subclass | Min Points | Residency | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSW | Marketing Specialist225113 | 190 | 100pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | Painting Trades Worker332211 | 190 | 90pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | Civil Engineer233211 | 190 | 90pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | Motor Mechanic (General)321211 | 190 | 95pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | ICT Security Specialist262112 | 190 | 105pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | Software Engineer261313 | 190 | 100pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | Analyst Programmer261311 | 190 | 100pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | Developer Programmer261312 | 190 | 100pts | onshore | community |
| NSW | Social Worker272511 | 190 | 90pts | onshore | community |
Architectural Draftsperson
Marketing Specialist
Painting Trades Worker
Civil Engineer
Motor Mechanic (General)
ICT Security Specialist
Software Engineer
Analyst Programmer
Developer Programmer
Social Worker
Visas actually granted, by nominating state
Main applicants granted subclass 190 and 491 visas, by the state or territory that nominated them. This is context, not a fill rate: a visa is usually granted months after the nomination, often in the next program year.
| State or territory | Subclass 190 | Subclass 491 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | 2023-24 | 2024-25 | 2022-23 | 2023-24 | 2024-25 | |
| NSWNew South Wales | 5,016 | 4,700 | 4,064 | 2,067 | 2,245 | 3,496 |
| VICVictoria | 4,926 | 5,997 | 4,708 | 909 | 1,357 | 757 |
| QLDQueensland | 1,212 | 1,054 | 1,282 | 991 | 884 | 598 |
| SASouth Australia | 2,706 | 1,496 | 1,561 | 2,782 | 2,946 | 2,089 |
| WAWestern Australia | 1,926 | 1,975 | 2,846 | 737 | 1,133 | 1,152 |
| TASTasmania | 1,236 | 792 | 1,378 | 1,787 | 1,725 | 690 |
| ACTAustralian Capital Territory | 828 | 591 | 1,341 | 916 | 694 | 1,092 |
| NTNorthern Territory | 503 | 303 | 272 | 652 | 463 | 417 |
Source: Department of Home Affairs, BP0068 (program years to 2024-25).
All eight states as a table — places, fill, queue & competition
| State / Territory | 190 Allocations | 491 Allocations | EOI Queue | Competition Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania | 1,250 | 800 | 24,364 | 19.5:1 |
| Queensland (last FY) | 1,850 | 750 | 41,589 | 22.5:1 |
| Northern Territory (last FY) | 850 | 800 | 21,423 | 25.2:1 |
| Victoria (last FY) | 2,700 | 700 | 88,075 | 32.6:1 |
| Western Australia (last FY) | 2,000 | 1,400 | 87,732 | 43.9:1 |
| Australian Capital Territory (last FY) | 800 | 800 | 35,483 | 44.4:1 |
| South Australia (last FY) | 1,350 | 900 | 60,930 | 45.1:1 |
| New South Wales (last FY) | 2,100 | 1,500 | 97,625 | 46.5:1 |
Frequently asked
Which state is easiest to get 190 or 491 nomination in?
In 2026-27, Tasmania had the least crowded queue (19.5 EOIs per 190 place). But state-level odds aren't personal odds — each state runs its own occupation list and minimum points, so check whether your occupation was actually invited there.
How many nomination places did each state get in 2026-27?
TAS 1,250 / 800; QLD / NT / VIC / WA / ACT / SA / NSW — awaiting 2026-27 announcement
What does "EOIs per place" mean?
The number of Expressions of Interest naming a state, divided by that state's 190 places. One EOI can nominate several states, so queues overlap and ratios overstate true competition somewhat — use them to compare states, not as personal probability.
When will the 2026-27 allocations be announced?
States receive allocations after the federal Program Update; announcements typically arrive between July and October. This page updates as each one lands.
Competition tiers: Lower < 15 EOIs per place · Moderate 15–30 · High 30–45 · Very high ≥ 45. Tiers compare states with each other, not your personal odds.
State and territory nomination explained
Subclass 190 and 491 visas require nomination from an Australian state or territory. Each state receives a fixed allocation of nomination places each financial year and sets its own occupation lists and eligibility rules.
This page shows the latest 190 and 491 allocations for every state and territory, alongside how many EOIs are competing for them. Comparing demand against each state's quota helps you target the nomination most likely to invite your occupation.
Community-reported and estimated figures are indicative and may be incomplete — treat them as a guide, not a guarantee. Official figures come from Home Affairs / SkillSelect.
General information only — not migration advice.
Compiled by ImmiTrend from official SkillSelect data.