189Federal
85- Est. Invitations
- 2–2
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
Metal Machinist (First Class)
As at September 2026, Metal Machinist (First Class) (ANZSCO 323214) has 47 EOIs in the subclass 189 pool (0 at 85+ points), 217 in 190 and 404 in 491. Last 189 invitation: 85 points on 4 June 2026. Latest state cut-offs: 190 at 70 points (20 March 2026) and 491 at 90 points (30 January 2025). Cut-offs are trending upward across recent rounds.
⬡ Personal report
Checking your access…
⬡ Migration agent
This occupation is highly competitive
Most applicants need a state-nomination strategy or 482/186 employer sponsorship — a registered migration agent can build one.
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MARN 190916212 yrs · 1,000+ applicants
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01
Latest Metal Machinist (First Class) invitation rounds & points
Subclass 189
↑ Rising85pts
4 June 2026 · ~15 invited
Down from 95 · 3 rounds so far this FY
65–95 pts over last 6 roundsⓘ
Subclass 190
Stable70pts
20 Mar 2026
Unchanged · 3 rounds so far this FY
65–70 pts over last 6 roundsⓘ
Subclass 491
90pts
30 Jan 2025
Up from 65 · 1 round so far this FY
65–90 pts over last 2 roundsⓘ
189 places this financial year
FY2026-27 · estimatedShared by all 4 occupations in Metal Fitters and Machinists, not just Metal Machinist (First Class)
1,187est. ceiling645est. 189 places529–571est. left after 15 Oct
11–18%
542 to 186 / 190 / 491~74–116 invited by 189open
15 Oct cut-off for the whole group: 70–80 pts
Who shares these places · 4 occupationsMetal Machinist (First Class) used ~1
| Occupation | Est. invited this FY | EOIs ≥ 70–80 pts | In pool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metal Machinist (First Class)323214THIS | 1 | 17 | 46 |
| Fitter (General)323211 | 73–115 | 114 | 308 |
| Fitter and Turner323212 | 0 | 4 | 37 |
| Fitter-Welder323213 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| 3232 total | 74–116 | 138 | 396 |
ImmiTrend estimate — official figures not yet published. FY2025-26 official: 1,244 ceiling, 873 remaining · Invited counts from community round reports · EOIs from SkillSelect 9 Oct 2026, before the round · How we estimate · All occupation ceilings →
Subclass 189 wait estimates · September 2026 EOI pool
Metal Machinist (First Class) shares unit group 3232's 189 places with 3 other occupations — these waits count Metal Machinist (First Class) invitations only. Check your score for the group view.
80
Points
1
Ahead
less than a month
2/6
Met the cut-off
These are model averages across the queue — for your personal rank and wait based on your own DOE, jump to Check My Score below.
"Met the cut-off" counts how many of the last 6 subclass-189 rounds your points would have been at or above the round's minimum.
Figures describe observed invitation rounds and the current EOI pool — indicative only, not migration advice.
189 rank can be estimated from points and DOE; 190 and state/territory-nominated 491 are selected by each jurisdiction under its own policy and priorities, so a national EOI queue rank doesn't apply.
02
How this occupation ranks
189
Where it ranks · subclass 189 · last 2 FY
Outside top 50 by volume
of 196 occupations invited
▲ Rising
⋯
This occupation · most invited →least invited
4 invites last 2 FY · busiest 6,052 · typical 48
Most consistently invited
invited 4 of 5 roundsOccasional
oldest → newest · filled = invited
Year over year
0last FY
4this FY
▲ +4Round to round · last 2 FY
1
1
2
▲ Rising · invites per round
03
Is 65–95 points enough for Metal Machinist (First Class)?
Can I get invited for Metal Machinist (First Class) with my points?
04
189 Invitation Predictions
What points and Date of Effect may be needed for Metal Machinist (First Class) in the next 189 round?
NEXT 189 ROUND · FROZEN 9 Oct 2026projected cutoff 85 pts · DOE 10 Aug 2026 – 9 Sept 2026this group 2–4 invitationsGet your verdict →
Calculate invitation predictions
Compare all occupationsSee the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Metal Machinist (First Class) if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.
At a glance — by round size
If 10 invited
75DOE ≤ May 26
If 20 invited
65DOE ≤ July 25
If 50 invited
All invited (46)
If 100 invited
All invited (46)
If 200 invited
All invited (46)
If 500 invited
All invited (46)
If 1000 invited
All invited (46)
Or calculate a custom number
189 prediction — full row
This occupation's complete row from the 189 invitation-prediction table: latest cutoff, this financial year's estimated round sizes, spots left, and predicted cutoffs at each scenario.
| Last round | Cutoff | Aug 25 | Nov 25 | June 26 | Spots left (FY) | If floor invited | If anchored invited | Active EOIs | At/above | Ceiling remaining | If 10 invited | If 20 invited | If 50 invited | If 100 invited | If 200 invited | If 500 invited | If 1000 invited |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 26 | 85 | 1–1 | 1–1 | 2–2 | 829–834 | 75DOE ≤ Nov 24 | 75DOE ≤ Nov 24 | 46 | 0 | 873 | 75DOE ≤ May 26 | 65DOE ≤ July 25 | All invited (46) | All invited (46) | All invited (46) | All invited (46) | All invited (46) |
05
Cut-offs & capacity
189 Occupation CeilingTier 3
2025-26 · Metal Fitters and Machinists (3232xx)
Ceiling
1,244
1.0% multiplier
Grants (190/491/ENS)
371
Remaining for 189
873
Spots left (FY)
829 – 834
Minimum Points Invited
All sources · 15 data points
Est. Invitations Per Round
Federal SkillSelect · 7 rounds
Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.
Point Reality Gauge
EOI minimum vs actual invited
Minimum (65)Actual (85)
Key Insights for Metal Machinist (First Class)
- ↑
Points are rising. Recent invited scores for Metal Machinist (First Class) are rising, which suggests competition may be increasing. Higher points generally improve 189 ranking; 190/491 outcomes still depend on each state and territory's policy and priorities.
- ⚠
Still 20 points above the EOI minimum. Despite current trends, Metal Machinist (First Class) remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 85 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.
- ℹ
6 rounds so far in FY25-26. Metal Machinist (First Class) has been invited in 6 invitation rounds this financial year. The round count alone doesn't indicate future demand or guarantee invitations.
06
A profile of the invited
07
Metal Machinist (First Class) EOI queue & points distribution
How many people are ahead of me in the EOI pool for Metal Machinist (First Class)?
EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)
09/2026 snapshot · 668 submitted EOIs in queue
Peak Points
65
At 85+ pts
26
Below Cutoff
641
EOI Submission Trends
Feb 24 – Sep 26
Latest
668
MoM Change
-68 (-9.2%)
Peak Month
Feb 26 (753)
EOI Queue Age
Backlog by submission month — 09/2026 snapshot
Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.
≥
In Queue
668
Oldest Waiting
Sep 24
Total Invited
113
Likelyⓘ
~14 mo ~ ~14 mo
Dec 2027~14 mo
Dec 2027Likely
Dec 2027~14 mo
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.
Invitation Trends
Apr 24 – Sep 26
Latest
45
MoM Change
-7 (-13.5%)
Peak Month
Sep 25 (107)
08
Metal Machinist (First Class) round history
Round History
Source:
| Date | Subclass | Source | Points | Est. Invitations | Salary | DOE / EOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026 | 189 | Federal | 85 | 2–2 | — | — | |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 190 | QLDCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 190 | QLDCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 5 Feb 2026 | 190 | QLDCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 189 | Federal | 95 | 1–1 | — | — | |
| 21 Aug 2025 | 189 | Federal | 85 | 1–1 | — | — | |
| 29 Apr 2025 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 30 Jan 2025 | 491 | NSWCommunity | 90 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | Federal | 90 | 0–0 | — | — | |
| 2 Sep 2024 | 190 | SACommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 19 Aug 2024 | 190 | SACommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 19 Apr 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 80 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 8 Dec 2022 | 189 | Federal | 65 | ~52Est. | — | — | |
| 8 Dec 2022 | 491 | Federal | 65 | — | — | — | |
| 22 Aug 2022 | 189 | Federal | 65 | ~18Est. | — | — |
- ··
- 190QLDCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190QLDCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190QLDCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 189Federal95
- Est. Invitations
- 1–1
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189Federal85
- Est. Invitations
- 1–1
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 190NSWCommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 491NSWCommunity90
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 189Federal90
- Est. Invitations
- 0–0
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 190SACommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190SACommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 189Federal65
- Est. Invitations
- ~52Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 491Federal65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189Federal65
- Est. Invitations
- ~18Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
··
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced
09
Metal Machinist (First Class) 190 / 491 state nominations
Which states nominate Metal Machinist (First Class) for 190 or 491?
190/491 State Nominations
EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation
138EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥85
8(6%)
31M Trend
↑ 918%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
113EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥85
6(5%)
31M Trend
↑ 1371%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
121EOIs
Building & Construction
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥85
4(3%)
31M Trend
↑ 940%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
130EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥85
6(5%)
31M Trend
↑ 858%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
105EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥85
3(3%)
31M Trend
↑ 1125%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
37EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
31M Trend
↑ 3600%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
46EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥85
1(2%)
31M Trend
↑ 4300%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
57EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥85
2(4%)
31M Trend
↑ 920%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (31M)
Invited & Lodged (31M)
EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.
10
Metal Machinist (First Class) visa grants
How many Metal Machinist (First Class) visas were actually granted, and through which visa?
In 2024-25, 82 skilled visas went to Metal Machinist (First Class) main applicants, the 115th most of 581 occupations. Most came through employer sponsorship (186: 48) and regional state nomination (491: 21).
25-26* is provisional: the full year to June 2026 from a Home Affairs data release. Hover for the figures; the official release is expected in late 2026.
| Visa | Share of total | 2024-25 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | −16% | ||
59% | 48 | +7% | |
26% | 21 | −25% | |
11% | 9 | — | |
5% | 4 | — | |
0% | 0 | — |
494 includes the closed 187 (peak 20 in 2015-16). 491 includes the closed 489 (peak 17 in 2017-18). — means last year had fewer than 20 grants. Tap a colour to show or hide its line. The grey area is the total.
Show the numbers for every year
| Year | Total | 186 | 190 | 491 | 189 | 494 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | 78 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 20 |
| 2016-17 | 64 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 14 |
| 2017-18 | 68 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 2018-19 | 39 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-20 | 50 | 12 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 |
| 2020-21 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | 60 | 28 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 7 |
| 2022-23 | 140 | 43 | 37 | 35 | 6 | 19 |
| 2023-24 | 98 | 45 | 16 | 28 | 3 | 6 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 48 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 4 |
Where they were granted
Employer location, 2024-25. Coloured by how each state's share of Metal Machinist (First Class) 186 grants compares with its usual share of all 186 grants.
- 1WAMore than usual35% · usually 17%17
- 2VICAbout usual23% · usually 25%11
- 3NSWLess than usual21% · usually 33%10
- 4QLDToo few to saytoo few to compare7
- 5SAToo few to saytoo few to compare3
- 6TASToo few to saytoo few to compare0
- 7ACTToo few to saytoo few to compare0
- 8NTToo few to saytoo few to compare0
- More than usual (1.3× or more)
- About usual
- Less than usual (under 0.75×)
- Too few to say (under 10)
Who was granted
Country of citizenship, 2022-23 to 2024-25 combined.
- 1India27.8%
- 2Philippines16.9%
- 3South Africa15.3%
- 4Iran10.0%
- 5United Kingdom9.1%
Data: July 2015 to June 2025, main applicants only. Occupation is recorded only for main applicants in the Skill stream, so partner, parent, business and 858 visas can't appear here, and temporary visas such as 482 aren't in this data. Source: Department of Home Affairs, BP0068 (CC BY). The views expressed are those of ImmiTrend and not necessarily those of the Department.
11
Common questions about Metal Machinist (First Class)
What points do you need for Metal Machinist (First Class) subclass 189?
Metal Machinist (First Class) was last invited for subclass 189 on 4 June 2026 at 85 points. In the last 6 rounds in which it was invited, the cut-off ranged 65–95 points.
Is the Metal Machinist (First Class) subclass 189 cut-off rising or easing?
The subclass 189 cut-off for Metal Machinist (First Class) has been trending upward across recent rounds — competition is increasing.
Is 85, 90 or 95 points enough to be invited for Metal Machinist (First Class) (subclass 189)?
In the last 6 subclass 189 rounds in which Metal Machinist (First Class) was invited (most recently on 4 June 2026), the cut-off ranged 65–95 points. Your points would have met the cut-off in: 95 points in 6 of 6, 90 points in 5 of 6, 85 points in 4 of 6, 80 points in 2 of 6, 75 points in 2 of 6, 70 points in 2 of 6. Meeting a previous cut-off does not guarantee a future invitation — invitations also depend on your Date of Effect, the round size and other applicants.
Check how your own points and Date of Effect rank →What are the latest 190 and 491 cut-offs for Metal Machinist (First Class)?
For Metal Machinist (First Class): subclass 190 was last invited at 70 points (20 March 2026). subclass 491 was last invited at 90 points (30 January 2025).
How do I compare to applicants who got invited for Metal Machinist (First Class)?
Subclass 190 and state/territory-nominated 491 invitations are issued by each state and territory under its own policy and priorities — not by national EOI queue order. ImmiTrend's Check My Score compares your points, English, salary, partner status, onshore/offshore status and NAATI against community-reported invited samples for Metal Machinist (First Class). Samples may be incomplete — for reference only, not a guarantee.
Which states nominate Metal Machinist (First Class) for 190/491?
Metal Machinist (First Class) has state-nomination activity in: NSW, QLD, VIC, WA. State lists and quotas change each program year — check each state's official list.
How many subclass 189 places are likely left this FY2026-27 for Metal Machinist (First Class)?
Around 645 subclass 189 places are projected for Metal Machinist (First Class) in FY2026-27. The Department of Home Affairs has not yet published FY2026-27 occupation ceilings, so this is an ImmiTrend estimate based on prior-year ceilings and current pool data.
How long is the wait for Metal Machinist (First Class) at 80 points (subclass 189)?
At 80 points, the estimated subclass 189 wait for Metal Machinist (First Class) is less than a month, based on the September 2026 EOI pool.
How often are Metal Machinist (First Class) invitation rounds held?
Subclass 189: no federal rounds have been held yet in FY2026-27; the most recent was on 4 June 2026, and in FY2025-26 there were 3 federal rounds (21 August 2025, 13 November 2025 and 4 June 2026), with Metal Machinist (First Class) invited in 3 of them. State nominations in FY2025-26: subclass 190 invitations on 3 round dates and subclass 491 on none (QLD; 70–70 points).
How many Metal Machinist (First Class) visas were granted in 2024-25?
82 main applicants: 48 through 186, 21 through 491, 9 through 190 and 4 through 494.
Related occupations
Metal Fitters and Machinists 3232
- 323211Fitter (General)Compare
- 323212Fitter and TurnerCompare
- 323213Fitter-WelderCompare
- 323214Metal Machinist (First Class)You are here
- 323299Metal Fitters and Machinists necCompare
Related:Guide: check your 189 invitation chancesFirst 189 round of 2026-27, October update: every occupation’s projected cutoff189 invitation chances
Last updated 30 September 2026Sources:OfficialEstimated
Community-reported and estimated figures are indicative and may be incomplete — treat them as a guide, not a guarantee. Official figures come from Home Affairs / SkillSelect.
General information only — not migration advice.
Compiled by ImmiTrend from official SkillSelect data.