Same points, same date — which occupation gives you the better odds?
Latest round Fitter-Welder's latest cutoff is lower: 70 vs 85 for Metal Machinist (First Class).
| Fitter-Welder323213 | Metal Machinist (First Class)323214 | |
|---|---|---|
| Capacity | 818 · FY2026-27 | 818 · FY2026-27 |
| Standing | — | #— of 196 |
| Queue position | 0 ahead | 0 ahead |
| Latest round | 2022-12-08 · 70 pts | 2026-06-04 · 85 pts |
| EOI data · pool & queue trend | 5 | 50 |
| EOI data · submission & invitation trend | — | — |
| Next round | — | — |
| Open states | 3 listed | 3 listed |
| Invited profile | — | — |
| Assessing authority | TRA | TRA |
Occupations in unit group 3232 share 818 places left.
Unit group 3232 · 2025-26 official: 1,244 ceiling · 873 remaining
Unit group 3232 · 2025-26 official: 1,244 ceiling · 873 remaining
Only Metal Machinist (First Class) has standing data: 4.
Not ranked yet — no anchored invitations in the last two financial years.
Both have the same number of people ahead of you.
Fitter-Welder's latest cutoff is lower: 70 vs 85 for Metal Machinist (First Class).
Down from 80 vs previous round
Other subclasses491 · 70 pts · 8 Dec 2022
See full round history →Down from 95 vs previous round
Other subclasses190 · 70 pts · 20 Mar 2026491 · 90 pts · 30 Jan 2025
See full round history →Fitter-Welder has a smaller EOI pool: 5 (0 vs last month) vs 50 (-3) for Metal Machinist (First Class).
Queue at your points · 6 months
0 at 85+ pts
▬ 0 vs last month
Queue at your points · 6 months
0 at 85+ pts
▬ 0 vs last month
Metal Machinist (First Class) drew more invitations last month: 3 vs 1 for Fitter-Welder. Pools: 50 (-3) vs 5 (0).
No next-round estimate available.
Both are open in the same number of states.
Subclass 189 is the federal, points-tested stream — states do not nominate for it. Switch to 190 or 491 to compare open states.
At least one occupation has no state-nomination community data, so this row isn't compared.
Subclass 189 has no state-nomination community data. Compare on 190 or 491 to see an invited profile.
TRA may assess both occupations. Verify on the assessing authority's site before you apply.