Welder (First Class)

ANZSCO 322313MLTSSL

Subclass 189, 190, 491 invitation rounds, points cut-offs & EOI trends

As of 4 June 2026, subclass 189 invitations for Welder (First Class) (ANZSCO 322313) were issued at 80 points. Subclass 190 sits at 70 points (16 April 2026). Subclass 491 sits at 80 points (5 March 2025). Cut-offs are trending upward across recent rounds.

invited 5 of 5 rounds last 2 FYdown 52% vs last FYmovers board
01

Latest invitation rounds

Subclass 189

Rising

80pts

4 June 2026 · ~58 invited

Down from 85 · 3 rounds so far this FY

70–90 pts over last 6 rounds

Subclass 190

Rising

70pts

16 Apr 2026

Up from 65 · 6 rounds so far this FY

65–85 pts over last 6 rounds

Subclass 491

Rising

80pts

5 Mar 2025 · ~1 invited

Down from 95 · 7 rounds so far this FY

80–95 pts over last 6 rounds

See full round history

189 places likely left this FY

462conservative (floor)466anchored estimate

Cut-offs & capacity

Subclass 189 wait estimates · May 2026 EOI pool

80
Points
80
Ahead
about 1 month
3/6
Met the cut-off
85
Points
20
Ahead
less than a month
5/6
Met the cut-off
90
Points
6
Ahead
less than a month
6/6
Met the cut-off

These are model averages across the queue — for your personal rank and wait based on your own DOE, jump to Check My Score below.

"Met the cut-off" counts how many of the last 6 subclass-189 rounds your points would have been at or above the round's minimum.

Figures describe observed invitation rounds and the current EOI pool — indicative only, not migration advice.

189 estimates are most reliable; 190 and 491 outcomes depend heavily on state nomination policy, occupation lists, and per-state quotas, which this model does not directly incorporate.

02

How this occupation ranks

189

Where it ranks · subclass 189 · last 2 FY

Outside top 50 by volume
of 196 occupations invited
Falling
This occupation · most invited →least invited

180 invites last 2 FY · busiest 6,401 · typical 48

Most consistently invited

invited 5 of 5 rounds

oldest → newest · filled = invited

Year over year

122
last FY
58
this FY
▼ −52%

Round to round · last 2 FY

43
79
5
11
42

Falling · invites per round

03

Check my score

Can I get invited for Welder (First Class) with my points?

04

189 Invitation Predictions

What points and Date of Effect may be needed for Welder (First Class) in the next 189 round?

Calculate invitation predictions

Compare all occupations

See the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Welder (First Class) if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.

At a glance — by round size

If 10 invited

85DOE ≤ Nov 25

If 20 invited

85DOE ≤ May 26

If 50 invited

80DOE ≤ Jan 26

If 100 invited

75DOE ≤ Oct 25

If 200 invited

70DOE ≤ Oct 25

If 500 invited

55DOE ≤ May 26

If 1000 invited

All invited (506)

Or calculate a custom number

189 prediction — full row

This occupation's complete row from the 189 invitation-prediction table: latest cutoff, this financial year's estimated round sizes, spots left, and predicted cutoffs at each scenario.

Last roundCutoffAug 25Nov 25Spots left (FY)If floor invitedIf anchored invitedActive EOIsAt/aboveCeiling remainingIf 10 invitedIf 20 invitedIf 50 invitedIf 100 invitedIf 200 invitedIf 500 invitedIf 1000 invited
June 26804591146246685DOE ≤ Nov 2585DOE ≤ Nov 255068248685DOE ≤ Nov 2585DOE ≤ May 2680DOE ≤ Jan 2675DOE ≤ Oct 2570DOE ≤ Oct 2555DOE ≤ May 26All invited (506)
05

Cut-offs & capacity

189 Occupation CeilingTier 3

2025-26 · Structural Steel and Welding Trades Workers (3223xx)

Ceiling

775

1.0% multiplier

Grants (190/491/ENS)

289

Remaining for 189

486

Spots left (FY)

462466

Minimum Points Invited

All sources · 30 data points

Est. Invitations Per Round

Federal SkillSelect · 9 rounds

Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.

Point Reality Gauge

Legal minimum vs actual invited

Minimum (65)Actual (80)

Key Insights for Welder (First Class)

  • Points are rising. Competition is increasing for Welder (First Class). Consider boosting your points through additional qualifications or regional pathways.

  • Still 15 points above the legal minimum. Despite current trends, Welder (First Class) remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 80 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.

  • 9 rounds so far in FY25-26. Welder (First Class) has been included in 9 invitation rounds this financial year. More rounds generally indicate sustained demand from the Department.

06

A profile of the invited

07

EOI data

How many people are ahead of me in the EOI pool for Welder (First Class)?

EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)

05/2026 snapshot · 2,448 submitted EOIs in queue

Peak Points

65

At 80+ pts

750

Below Cutoff

1,696

EOI Submission Trends

Feb 24 – May 26

Latest

2,448

MoM Change

+13 (0.5%)

Peak Month

May 26 (2,448)

EOI Queue Age

Backlog by submission month — 05/2026 snapshot

Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.

In Queue

2,448

Oldest Waiting

May 24

Total Invited

591

Likely

~3.2 yr ~ ~3.2 yr

Aug 2029~3.2 yr
Aug 2029Likely
Aug 2029~3.2 yr
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.

Invitation Trends

Feb 24 – May 26

Latest

228

MoM Change

+50 (28.1%)

Peak Month

Dec 24 (259)

08

Round history

Round History

Source:
  • 189Federal
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ~58Est.
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 190NSWCommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 190QLDCommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190VICCommunity
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰77000
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 190SACommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190VICCommunity
    85
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189Federal
    85
    Est. Invitations
    911
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 190SACommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 189Federal
    90
    Est. Invitations
    45
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 190NSWCommunity
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190TASCommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 491VICCommunity
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 190SACommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 491VICCommunity
    95
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 491VICCommunity
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰70000
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 491VICCommunity
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰70000
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 491VICCommunity
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 491VICCommunity
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰70000
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 491VICCommunity
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰70000
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189Federal
    70
    Est. Invitations
    4379
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 189FederalCommunity
    75
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189FederalCommunity
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189FederalCommunity
    75
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189FederalCommunity
    75
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189FederalCommunity
    75
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189Federal
    75
    Est. Invitations
    3343
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 189FederalCommunity
    85
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189FederalCommunity
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 189Federal
    85
    Est. Invitations
    56
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 190NSWCommunity
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 190NSWCommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190NSWCommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190NSWCommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190NSWCommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 491Federal
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ~1Est.
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 189Federal
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ~202Est.
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
  • 189Federal
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ~70Est.
    ·
    Salary
    ·
    DOE / EOI
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced
09

190 / 491 state nominations

Which states nominate Welder (First Class) for 190 or 491?

190/491 State Nominations

EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation

NSWEligible

393EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff80

85(22%)

27M Trend

4286%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

VICEligible

599EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff80

228(38%)

27M Trend

3964%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

QLDEligible

180EOIs

Building & Construction

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff80

26(14%)

27M Trend

4667%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

SA?Unknown

217EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff80

39(18%)

27M Trend

3580%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

WA?Unknown

550EOIs

Peak Bracket

70pts

Above Cutoff80

229(42%)

27M Trend

5320%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

TAS?Unknown

87EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff80

16(18%)

27M Trend

4050%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

NT?Unknown

98EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff80

17(17%)

27M Trend

3133%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

ACT?Unknown

55EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff80

14(25%)

27M Trend

5300%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.

10

Common questions

What points do you need for Welder (First Class) subclass 189?

As of 4 June 2026, subclass 189 invitations for Welder (First Class) were issued at 80 points, with recent rounds ranging 70–90 over the last 6 rounds.

Is the Welder (First Class) subclass 189 cut-off rising or easing?

The subclass 189 cut-off for Welder (First Class) has been trending upward across recent rounds — competition is increasing.

Is 85, 90 or 95 points enough to be invited for Welder (First Class) (subclass 189)?

In the last 6 subclass 189 rounds for Welder (First Class), the cut-off ranged 70–90 points. Your points would have met the cut-off in: 95 points in 6 of 6, 90 points in 6 of 6, 85 points in 5 of 6, 80 points in 3 of 6, 75 points in 2 of 6, 70 points in 1 of 6. Meeting a previous cut-off does not guarantee a future invitation — invitations also depend on your Date of Effect, the round size and other applicants.

Check how your own points and Date of Effect rank →

What are the latest 190 and 491 cut-offs for Welder (First Class)?

For Welder (First Class): subclass 190 was last invited at 70 points (16 April 2026). subclass 491 was last invited at 80 points (5 March 2025).

How do I compare to applicants who got invited for Welder (First Class)?

For state nomination (subclasses 190 and 491), invitations go by profile — not your place in the EOI queue. ImmiTrend's Check My Score shows how your points, English, salary, partner status, onshore/offshore status and NAATI compare to the people who were actually invited for Welder (First Class), so you can see where you match and where you fall short. Based on community-reported invitations; for reference, not a guarantee.

Which states nominate Welder (First Class) for 190/491?

Welder (First Class) has state-nomination activity in: NSW, QLD, VIC. State lists and quotas change each program year — check each state's official list.

How many subclass 189 places are likely left this FY25-26 for Welder (First Class)?

An estimated 462–466 subclass 189 places are likely left this financial year for Welder (First Class), based on the occupation ceiling and invitations issued so far.

How long is the wait for Welder (First Class) at 80 points (subclass 189)?

At 80 points, the estimated subclass 189 wait for Welder (First Class) is about 1 month, based on the May 2026 EOI pool.

How long is the wait for Welder (First Class) at 85 points (subclass 189)?

At 85 points, the estimated subclass 189 wait for Welder (First Class) is less than a month, based on the May 2026 EOI pool.

How long is the wait for Welder (First Class) at 90 points (subclass 189)?

At 90 points, the estimated subclass 189 wait for Welder (First Class) is less than a month, based on the May 2026 EOI pool.

How often are Welder (First Class) invitation rounds held?

Welder (First Class) has had 9 invitation rounds so far in FY25-26.

Related occupations

Structural Steel and Welding Trades Workers 3223

Last updated 4 June 2026Sources:OfficialCommunity-reportedEstimated

Community-reported and estimated figures are indicative and may be incomplete — treat them as a guide, not a guarantee. Official figures come from Home Affairs / SkillSelect.

General information only — not migration advice.

Compiled by ImmiTrend from official SkillSelect data.