Same points, same date — which occupation gives you the better odds?
Queue position Metal Fabricator has 18.0× fewer people ahead of you (1 vs 18).
| Metal Fabricator322311 | Welder (First Class)322313 | |
|---|---|---|
| Capacity | 361 · FY2026-27 | 361 · FY2026-27 |
| Standing | #— of 196 | #— of 196 |
| Queue position | 1 ahead | 18 ahead |
| Latest round | 2026-06-04 · 80 pts | 2026-06-04 · 80 pts |
| EOI data · pool & queue trend | 259 | 529 |
| EOI data · submission & invitation trend | — | — |
| Next round | 70 pts | 75 pts |
| Open states | 4 listed | 4 listed |
| Invited profile | — | — |
| Grants | 11 · 189 | 35 · 189 |
| Where they were granted | VIC 6 | VIC 32 |
| Who was granted | Philippines 22% | Philippines 40% |
| Assessing authority | TRA | TRA |
Occupations in unit group 3223 share 361 places left.
Unit group 3223 · 2025-26 official: 775 ceiling · 486 remaining
Unit group 3223 · 2025-26 official: 775 ceiling · 486 remaining
Welder (First Class) ranks higher: #86 vs #22 for Metal Fabricator.
Metal Fabricator has 18.0× fewer people ahead of you (1 vs 18).
The latest cutoff is the same for both.
Down from 85 vs previous round
Other subclasses190 · 70 pts · 30 Apr 2026491 · 65 pts · 8 Dec 2022
See full round history →Down from 85 vs previous round
Other subclasses190 · 70 pts · 16 Apr 2026491 · 80 pts · 5 Mar 2025
See full round history →Metal Fabricator has a smaller EOI pool: 259 (+5 vs last month) vs 529 (+28) for Welder (First Class).
Queue at your points · 6 months
1 at 85+ pts
▬ 0 vs last month
Queue at your points · 6 months
17 at 85+ pts
▲ 1 vs last month
Welder (First Class) drew more invitations last month: 30 vs 14 for Metal Fabricator. Pools: 529 (+28) vs 259 (+5).
Metal Fabricator needs fewer points for the next round: 70 vs 75 for Welder (First Class).
Both are open in the same number of states.
Subclass 189 is the federal, points-tested stream — states do not nominate for it. Switch to 190 or 491 to compare open states.
At least one occupation has no state-nomination community data, so this row isn't compared.
Subclass 189 has no state-nomination community data. Compare on 190 or 491 to see an invited profile.
In 2024-25, Metal Fabricator had 11 subclass 189 main-applicant grants and Welder (First Class) had 35. From July to April 2025-26 they had 4–16 and 22–31 so far. Grants trail invitations by months: read this as context, not as your chances.
11
subclass 189 main applicants · 2024-25
35
subclass 189 main applicants · 2024-25
Top state for subclass 189 grants in 2024-25: Metal Fabricator VIC (6); Welder (First Class) VIC (32).
Most common nationality, 2022-23 to 2024-25: Metal Fabricator Philippines (22.4%); Welder (First Class) Philippines (40.2%). Applied from within Australia in 2024-25: Metal Fabricator 91%; Welder (First Class) 89%.
Nationality, 2022-23 to 2024-25 combined
Nationality, 2022-23 to 2024-25 combined
TRA may assess both occupations. Verify on the assessing authority's site before you apply.