How many invitations did the 4 June 2026 189 round issue, and what did the prediction assume?

The round invited 10,000. The frozen prediction assumed 7,400–8,828.

Where is the prediction for the next 189 round?

The current prediction is at immitrend.com.au/189-prediction. It is frozen before each round and graded on a page like this one once Home Affairs publishes the results. Predictions are a guide, not a guarantee.

189 prediction vs official result: 4 June 2026 round

This prediction was computed from the EOI queue as it stood before the 4 June 2026 round, but logged after the round ran. It was not published in advance. The official cut-off fell inside our predicted range for 72 of 125 occupations, and within 5 points of it for 39 more. The average error was 3.6 points.

72Matched
39Up to 5 points off
86 to 10 points off
6More than 10 points off

We assumed: 7,400–8,828
Home Affairs invited: 10,000

Average error: 3.6 points

4 June 2026 results by occupation →

Predicted and official cut-off by occupation

Columns

Cutoffs

Verdicts

Invitations

Predicted versus community-reported subclass 189 invitation cutoffs and estimated invitations, by occupation, for the latest round.

Agricultural Consultant 234111	85≤ 16 Apr 2026	80	5 pts off	58–69	~148–172
Architect 232111	85≤ 16 Jan 2026	85	In range	89–106	~83–97
Biotechnologist 234514	85≤ 7 May 2026	95	10 pts off	87–104	~12–14
Boat Builder and Repairer 399111	80≤ 27 Jan 2026	80	In range	4–5	~8–9
Carpenter 331212	65≤ 21 May 2026	65	In range	698–832	~656–763
Environmental Consultant 234312	80≤ 28 Jan 2026	80	In range	115–137	~137–159
General Practitioner 253111	80≤ 20 Apr 2026	75	5 pts off	260–310	~347–404
Glazier 333111	70–65≤ 24 Jan 2026	65	In range	8–10	~9–10
Land Economist 224511	80≤ 15 Jan 2026	80	In range	10–12	~16–19
Management Consultant 224711	85≤ 22 Apr 2026	80	5 pts off	133–159	~249–290
Mining Engineer (excluding Petroleum) 233611	85≤ 10 Mar 2026	80	5 pts off	42–50	~120–140
Other Spatial Scientist 232214	85–80≤ 14 Jan 2026	80	In range	30–36	~40–47
Petroleum Engineer 233612	85–80≤ 15 Sept 2025	80	In range	41–49	~76–88
Psychologist (nec) 272399	80≤ 16 Apr 2026	75	5 pts off	55–66	~78–91
Registered Nurse (Disability and Rehabilitation) 254417	80–75≤ 14 Aug 2025	80	In range	19–23	~19–22
Registered Nurses (nec) 254499	80≤ 25 May 2026	75	5 pts off	1286–1534	~1,524–1,773
Secondary School Teacher 241411	80–75≤ 19 Sept 2025	75	In range	445–531	~487–567
Solicitor 271311	85–80≤ 13 Nov 2025	80	In range	250–298	~386–449
Speech Pathologist 252712	85–80≤ 9 Jan 2026	75	5 pts off	29–35	~79–92
Surveyor 232212	80≤ 30 Oct 2025	80	In range	13–16	~18–21
Telecommunications Engineer 263311	95≤ 23 Apr 2026	95	In range	24–29	~20–23
Valuer 224512	80≤ 15 Aug 2025	80	In range	16–19	~29–34
Veterinarian 234711	85–80≤ 12 Aug 2025	80	In range	84–100	~127–148
Wall and Floor Tiler 333411	65≤ 27 Apr 2026	65	In range	87–104	~88–102
Actuary 224111	80≤ 13 Feb 2026	90	10 pts off	86–103	~13–15
Agricultural Scientist 234112	85≤ 21 Mar 2026	80	5 pts off	33–39	~91–106
Airconditioning and Mechanical Services Plumber 334112	65–55≤ 28 Jan 2026	65	In range	15–18	~9–10
Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic 342111	—	80	—	—	~2
Arts Administrator or Manager 139911	85–80≤ 3 July 2025	80	In range	8–10	~18–21
Audiologist 252711	75≤ 19 Feb 2026	75	In range	21–25	~19–22
Automotive Electrician 321111	85≤ 24 Apr 2026	80	5 pts off	1–1	~9–10
Barrister 271111	75≤ 28 Feb 2026	80	5 pts off	3–4	~2
Bricklayer 331111	65≤ 21 May 2026	65	In range	83–99	~76–88
Cabinetmaker 394111	85–80≤ 9 July 2025	80	In range	3–4	~5–6
Cardiologist 253312	70–65≤ 15 Sept 2025	80	10 pts off	4–5	~1
Carpenter and Joiner 331211	70≤ 26 Apr 2026	65	5 pts off	21–25	~34–40
Cartographer 232213	85≤ 25 Mar 2026	85	In range	1–1	~1
Chemist 234211	85–80≤ 4 July 2025	85	In range	83–99	~42–49
Child Care Centre Manager 134111	80≤ 11 Mar 2026	80	In range	4–5	~5–6
Chiropractor 252111	85≤ 24 Mar 2026	80	5 pts off	3–4	~61–71
Clinical Psychologist 272311	75≤ 23 Oct 2025	75	In range	6–7	~6–7
Construction Project Manager 133111	85≤ 7 Jan 2026	80	5 pts off	81–97	~402–468
Dancer or Choreographer 211112	—	80	—	—	~4–5
Dermatologist 253911	85≤ 3 Apr 2026	85	In range	1–1	~1
Diagnostic and Interventional Radiologist 253917	75–70≤ 19 Feb 2026	85	10 pts off	3–4	~1
Drainer 334113	70≤ 28 Sept 2025	65	5 pts off	2–2	~3
Economist 224311	85≤ 9 Apr 2026	80	5 pts off	33–39	~89–104
Electrical Engineering Draftsperson 312311	85≤ 27 May 2026	80	5 pts off	5–6	~18–21
Electrical Engineering Technician 312312	90–85≤ 2 Dec 2025	80	5 pts off	24–29	~75–87
Electrician (General) 341111	65≤ 24 May 2026	65	In range	111–132	~88–102
Electrician (Special Class) 341112	65	65	In range	10–12	~1
Electronic Equipment Trades Worker 342313	80≤ 22 Dec 2025	80	In range	9–11	~18–21
Electronic Instrument Trades Worker (General) 342314	80≤ 20 Nov 2025	80	In range	2–2	~4–5
Electronic Instrument Trades Worker (Special Class) 342315	80≤ 1 Oct 2025	80	In range	2–2	~6–7
Electronics Engineer 233411	—	95	—	—	~10–12
Emergency Medicine Specialist 253912	80≤ 30 Mar 2026	75	5 pts off	17–20	~19–22
Endocrinologist 253315	—	80	—	—	~1
Engineering Manager 133211	85–80≤ 6 Aug 2025	80	In range	19–23	~40–47
Environmental Manager 139912	85≤ 18 May 2026	80	5 pts off	17–20	~35–41
Environmental Research Scientist 234313	85≤ 16 Apr 2026	80	5 pts off	35–42	~49–57
Environmental Scientists nec 234399	85≤ 23 Feb 2026	80	5 pts off	5–6	~16–19
Fibrous Plasterer 333211	70≤ 24 Apr 2026	65	5 pts off	3–4	~6–7
Fitter (General) 323211	85≤ 20 May 2026	80	5 pts off	8–10	~25–29
Fitter and Turner 323212	—	80	—	—	~2
Food Technologist 234212	85≤ 23 Apr 2026	85	In range	95–113	~64–74
Footballer 452411	—	80	—	—	~1
Forester 234113	80≤ 14 Mar 2026	80	In range	7–8	~8–9
Gasfitter 334114	70≤ 12 Dec 2025	70	In range	1–1	~1
Gastroenterologist 253316	—	85	—	—	~1
Geophysicist 234412	85≤ 27 Nov 2025	80	5 pts off	5–6	~9–10
Hydrogeologist 234413	85≤ 19 Apr 2026	80	5 pts off	4–5	~10–12
Intensive Care Specialist 253317	75–70≤ 23 Oct 2024	80	5 pts off	3–4	~2
Joiner 331213	70–65≤ 21 Nov 2025	65	In range	4–5	~7–8
Landscape Architect 232112	85≤ 3 May 2026	85	In range	21–25	~15–17
Life Scientist (General) 234511	85≤ 22 May 2026	95	10 pts off	70–83	~17–20
Life Scientist (nec) 234599	85≤ 14 Apr 2026	95	10 pts off	26–31	~3
Lift Mechanic 341113	—	80	—	—	~1
Marine Biologist 234516	85≤ 18 Apr 2026	95	10 pts off	11–13	~4–5
Medical Diagnostic Radiographer 251211	75≤ 30 Jan 2026	80	5 pts off	51–61	~39–45
Medical Laboratory Scientist 234611	85≤ 8 Dec 2025	80	5 pts off	26–31	~136–158
Medical Practitioners nec 253999	80≤ 22 Jan 2026	75	5 pts off	173–206	~268–312
Medical Radiation Therapist 251212	75≤ 20 Nov 2025	80	5 pts off	4–5	~2
Metal Fabricator 322311	80≤ 20 Nov 2025	80	In range	6–7	~12–14
Metal Machinist (First Class) 323214	85≤ 19 Jan 2026	85	In range	1–1	~2
Metallurgist 234912	85≤ 21 Feb 2026	80	5 pts off	12–14	~22–26
Meteorologist 234913	—	85	—	—	~3
Microbiologist 234517	85≤ 16 Mar 2026	95	10 pts off	24–29	~3
Midwife 254111	75≤ 22 Jan 2026	75	In range	31–37	~24–28
Multimedia Specialist 261211	95≤ 30 May 2026	95	In range	34–41	~17–20
Music Director 211212	—	80	—	—	~1
Musician (Instrumental) 211213	100≤ 22 Mar 2026	80	20 pts off	1–1	~6–7
Natural and Physical Science Professionals nec 234999	85≤ 3 Apr 2026	80	5 pts off	5–6	~18–21
Nuclear Medicine Technologist 251213	—	80	—	—	~1
Nurse Practitioner 254411	105≤ 8 May 2026	80	25 pts off	1–1	~3
Obstetrician and Gynaecologist 253913	85≤ 22 May 2026	85	In range	2–2	~2
Occupational Therapist 252411	75≤ 2 Jan 2026	75	In range	117–140	~102–119
Ophthalmologist 253914	80≤ 23 May 2026	80	In range	1–1	~1
Optometrist 251411	80≤ 5 Mar 2026	80	In range	4–5	~7–8
Organisational Psychologist 272313	80≤ 24 May 2026	80	In range	1–1	~1
Orthopaedic Surgeon 253514	85≤ 5 Feb 2026	85	In range	1–1	~1
Orthotist or Prosthetist 251912	—	80	—	—	~1
Osteopath 252112	65	80	15 pts off	0–0	~4–5
Paediatrician 253321	80–75≤ 22 May 2026	75	In range	4–5	~4–5
Panelbeater 324111	—	80	—	—	~4–5
Physicist 234914	85–80≤ 14 Oct 2025	80	In range	24–29	~38–44
Physiotherapist 252511	75≤ 28 Feb 2026	75	In range	202–241	~163–190
Plumber (General) 334111	60–45≤ 25 Mar 2026	65	5 pts off	35–42	~26–30
Podiatrist 252611	75≤ 28 Oct 2025	75	In range	8–10	~7–8
Primary Health Organisation Manager 134213	80≤ 5 Oct 2025	80	In range	4–5	~11–13
Psychiatrist 253411	85–80≤ 13 Apr 2026	80	In range	8–10	~8–9
Registered Nurse (Child and Family Health) 254413	80–75≤ 19 Sept 2025	80	In range	4–5	~4–5
Registered Nurse (Developmental Disability) 254416	80≤ 4 Apr 2026	80	In range	2–2	~3
Registered Nurse (Medical Practice) 254421	80≤ 20 May 2026	75	5 pts off	15–18	~24–28
Registered Nurse (Medical) 254418	75≤ 21 Oct 2025	75	In range	172–205	~142–165
Registered Nurse (Mental Health) 254422	80–75≤ 26 Sept 2025	75	In range	79–94	~82–95
Registered Nurse (Paediatrics) 254425	75≤ 12 Jan 2026	80	5 pts off	43–51	~30–35
Registered Nurse (Perioperative) 254423	75≤ 20 Feb 2026	75	In range	93–111	~62–72
Registered Nurse (Surgical) 254424	75≤ 10 Jan 2026	75	In range	96–114	~70–81
Registered Nurse (Aged Care) 254412	75≤ 27 Jan 2026	75	In range	365–435	~250–291
Registered Nurse (Community Health) 254414	75≤ 29 Mar 2026	75	In range	21–25	~13–15
Registered Nurse (Critical Care and Emergency) 254415	75≤ 19 Nov 2025	75	In range	189–225	~159–185
Roof Plumber 334115	65≤ 20 Apr 2026	65	In range	5–6	~6–7
Sheetmetal Trades Worker 322211	—	80	—	—	~1
Shipwright 399112	—	80	—	—	~1
Social Worker 272511	75≤ 7 Dec 2025	75	In range	412–491	~404–470
Solid Plasterer 333212	65≤ 11 Mar 2026	65	In range	11–13	~18–21
Sonographer 251214	65	85	20 pts off	23–27	~2
Special Education Teachers nec 241599	85≤ 13 Jan 2026	85	In range	2–2	~2
Special Needs Teacher 241511	75≤ 20 Jan 2026	75	In range	8–10	~5–6
Specialist Physician (General Medicine) 253311	75≤ 18 Feb 2026	80	5 pts off	6–7	~2
Specialist Physicians nec 253399	100≤ 17 Mar 2026	80	20 pts off	1–1	~4–5
Statistician 224113	85≤ 8 Mar 2026	90	5 pts off	153–182	~88–102
Stonemason 331112	65≤ 1 June 2026	65	In range	4–5	~3
Surgeon (General) 253511	85≤ 4 May 2026	85	In range	2–2	~2
Telecommunications Network Engineer 263312	95–90≤ 18 June 2025	95	In range	8–10	~4–5
Tennis Coach 452316	85≤ 13 Jan 2026	80	5 pts off	2–2	~7–8
Thoracic Medicine Specialist 253324	95≤ 11 Mar 2026	95	In range	1–1	~1
Urologist 253518	75≤ 1 Oct 2025	100	25 pts off	1–1	~1
Welder (First Class) 322313	85≤ 30 Nov 2025	80	5 pts off	9–11	~60–70
Welfare Centre Manager 134214	85≤ 8 Feb 2026	85	In range	1–1	~1
Across 140 occupations	—	—	72/125	7,400–8,828	~8,594–9,991

Agricultural Consultant

234111

5 pts off

Predicted cutoff: 85≤ 16 Apr 2026
Community cutoff: 85—
Official cutoff: 80
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 58–69
Est. invited (community)†: ~0–1
Est. invited (official)†: ~148–172

Architect

232111

In range

Predicted cutoff: 85≤ 16 Jan 2026
Community cutoff: 85—
Official cutoff: 85
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 89–106
Est. invited (community)†: ~8–127
Est. invited (official)†: ~83–97

Biotechnologist

234514

10 pts off

Predicted cutoff: 85≤ 7 May 2026
Community cutoff: 85—
Official cutoff: 95
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 87–104
Est. invited (community)†: ~54–124
Est. invited (official)†: ~12–14

Boat Builder and Repairer

399111 · Onshore

In range

Predicted cutoff: 80≤ 27 Jan 2026
Community cutoff: 80—
Official cutoff: 80
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 4–5
Est. invited (community)†: ~0
Est. invited (official)†: ~8–9

Carpenter

331212 · Onshore

In range

Predicted cutoff: 65≤ 21 May 2026
Community cutoff: 658 Apr 2026
Official cutoff: 65
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 698–832
Est. invited (community)†: ~44–221
Est. invited (official)†: ~656–763

Environmental Consultant

234312 · Onshore

In range

Predicted cutoff: 80≤ 28 Jan 2026
Community cutoff: 8028 Jan 2026
Official cutoff: 80
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 115–137
Est. invited (community)†: ~16–40
Est. invited (official)†: ~137–159

General Practitioner

253111 · Onshore

5 pts off

Predicted cutoff: 80≤ 20 Apr 2026
Community cutoff: 80—
Official cutoff: 75
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 260–310
Est. invited (community)†: ~19–55
Est. invited (official)†: ~347–404

Glazier

333111 · Onshore

In range

Predicted cutoff: 70–65≤ 24 Jan 2026
Community cutoff: 65—
Official cutoff: 65
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 8–10
Est. invited (community)†: ~2–4
Est. invited (official)†: ~9–10

Land Economist

224511

In range

Predicted cutoff: 80≤ 15 Jan 2026
Community cutoff: 80—
Official cutoff: 80
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 10–12
Est. invited (community)†: ~0–2
Est. invited (official)†: ~16–19

Management Consultant

224711

5 pts off

Predicted cutoff: 85≤ 22 Apr 2026
Community cutoff: 85Oct 2025
Official cutoff: 80
Community in range: In range
Predicted invites: 133–159
Est. invited (community)†: ~8–21
Est. invited (official)†: ~249–290

Across 140 occupations

Community in range: 24/46
Official in range: 72/125
Predicted invites: 7,400–8,828
Est. invited (community)†: ~469–3,221
Est. invited (official)†: ~8,594–9,991

Community-reported cutoffs are unofficial and may differ from the official figures. † Invitation counts are estimates — the active EOI queue includes backlogged applications.

† This round's prediction was computed from the pre-round EOI snapshot but logged after the round happened, not frozen in advance. Rounds from FY 2026-27 onward are frozen before the round runs.

Know a more exact cut-off score or Date of Effect for an occupation? Send us the details via feedback — thank you!

Questions about this round's prediction

How accurate was ImmiTrend's 189 prediction for the 4 June 2026 round?: The official cut-off fell inside our predicted range for 72 of 125 occupations, and within 5 points of it for 39 more. The average error was 3.6 points.
How many invitations did the 4 June 2026 189 round issue, and what did the prediction assume?: The round invited 10,000. The frozen prediction assumed 7,400–8,828.
When was the prediction for the 4 June 2026 round published?: This prediction was computed from the EOI queue as it stood before the 4 June 2026 round, but logged after the round ran. It was not published in advance.
Where is the prediction for the next 189 round?: The current prediction is at immitrend.com.au/189-prediction. It is frozen before each round and graded on a page like this one once Home Affairs publishes the results. Predictions are a guide, not a guarantee.