Fitter-Welder· ANZSCO 323213

MLTSSL

Subclass 189, 190, 491 invitation rounds, points cut-offs & EOI trends

Latest invitation rounds

Subclass 189

invited at 70 pts on 8 December 2022

down from 80 pts · ~4 invitations issued · cut-off range 70–80 over the past 2 rounds · 2 rounds so far in FY22-23

Subclass 190

No recent invitation round on file.

Subclass 491

invited at 70 pts on 8 December 2022

~0 invitations issued · 1 round so far in FY22-23

Subclass 189 wait estimates · May 2026 EOI pool

Not enough recent rounds to compute a wait estimate for this subclass.

189 estimates are most reliable; 190 and 491 outcomes depend heavily on state nomination policy, occupation lists, and per-state quotas, which this model does not directly incorporate.

Latest Points (491)

70

Unchanged

Last Invited

8 December 2022

Subclass 491

FY22-23 Rounds

3

rounds so far this FY

Trend Direction

Stable

Points steady over recent rounds

Check My Score

Enter your points and date of effect to see your queue rank, estimated wait time, and invitation probability — not just a likelihood score.

Calculate invitation predictions

Compare all occupations

See the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Fitter-Welder if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.

At a glance — by round size

If 10 invited

All invited (6)

If 20 invited

All invited (6)

If 50 invited

All invited (6)

If 100 invited

All invited (6)

If 200 invited

All invited (6)

If 500 invited

All invited (6)

If 1000 invited

All invited (6)

Or calculate a custom number

EOI Submission Trends

Feb 24 – May 26

Latest

74

MoM Change

+5 (7.2%)

Peak Month

May 26 (74)

Invitation Trends

May 24 – May 26

Latest

4

MoM Change

+1 (33.3%)

Peak Month

Oct 25 (6)

EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)

05/2026 snapshot · 74 submitted EOIs in queue

SkillSelect ↗

Peak Points

65

At 70+ pts

34

Below Cutoff

40

EOI Queue Age

Backlog by submission month — 05/2026 snapshot

Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.

SkillSelect ↗
≥

In Queue

74

Oldest Waiting

Jul 24

Total Invited

8

Likelyⓘ

~1 mo ~ ~1 mo

Jul 2026~1 mo
Jul 2026Likely
Jul 2026~1 mo
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.

189 Occupation CeilingTier 3

2025-26 · Metal Fitters and Machinists (3232xx)

FOI source ↗

Ceiling

1,244

1.0% multiplier

Grants (190/491/ENS)

371

Remaining for 189

873

Spots left (FY)

862 – 863

Tier Meaning

Standard priority — moderate demand

Point Reality Gauge

Legal minimum vs actual invited

Minimum (65)Actual (70)

Key Insights for Fitter-Welder

  • ↔

    Points are stable. The minimum invited score has remained consistent over recent rounds. Expect similar thresholds in the near future.

  • ⚠

    Still 5 points above the legal minimum. Despite current trends, Fitter-Welder remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 70 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.

  • ℹ

    3 rounds so far in FY22-23. Fitter-Welder has been included in 3 invitation rounds this financial year. More rounds generally indicate sustained demand from the Department.

Minimum Points Invited

All sources · 3 data points

Est. Invitations Per Round

Federal SkillSelect · 3 rounds

Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.

Round History

  • 491Federal
    70
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189Federal
    70
    Est. Invitations
    ~4Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189Federal
    80
    Est. Invitations
    ~1Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced

190/491 State Nominations

EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation

NSW✓Eligible

12EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

5(42%)

27M Trend

↑ 1000%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

VIC✓Eligible

12EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

5(42%)

27M Trend

↑ 500%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

QLD✓Eligible

12EOIs

Building & Construction

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

5(42%)

27M Trend

↑ 400%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

SA?Unknown

8EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

3(38%)

27M Trend

↑ 700%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

WA?Unknown

17EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

11(65%)

27M Trend

↑ 467%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

TAS?Unknown

5EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

1(20%)

27M Trend

↑ 400%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

NT?Unknown

6EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

2(33%)

27M Trend

↑ 400%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

ACT?Unknown

5EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

2(40%)

27M Trend

↑ 300%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.

Related occupations

Metal Fitters and Machinists 3232