Metal Machinist (First Class)· ANZSCO 323214

MLTSSL

Subclass 189, 190, 491 invitation rounds, points cut-offs & EOI trends

Latest invitation rounds

Subclass 189

invited at 95 pts on 13 November 2025

up from 85 pts · ~13 invitations issued · cut-off range 65–95 over the past 5 rounds · 2 rounds so far in FY25-26 · trend rising

Subclass 190

invited at 70 pts on 20 March 2026

unchanged from previous round · 3 rounds so far in FY25-26 · trend stable

Subclass 491

invited at 90 pts on 30 January 2025

up from 65 pts · 1 round so far in FY24-25

Subclass 189 wait estimates · May 2026 EOI pool

80
Points
3
Ahead
less than a month
85
Points
2
Ahead
less than a month

These are model averages across the queue — for your personal rank and wait based on your own DOE, jump to Check My Score below.

189 estimates are most reliable; 190 and 491 outcomes depend heavily on state nomination policy, occupation lists, and per-state quotas, which this model does not directly incorporate.

Latest Points (190)

70

Unchanged

Last Invited

20 March 2026

Subclass 190

FY25-26 Rounds

5

rounds so far this FY

Trend Direction

Rising

Points increasing over recent rounds

Check My Score

Enter your points and date of effect to see your queue rank, estimated wait time, and invitation probability — not just a likelihood score.

Calculate invitation predictions

Compare all occupations

See the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Metal Machinist (First Class) if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.

At a glance — by round size

If 10 invited

75≤ May 26

If 20 invited

70≤ May 26

If 50 invited

50≤ Feb 26

If 100 invited

All invited (55)

If 200 invited

All invited (55)

If 500 invited

All invited (55)

If 1000 invited

All invited (55)

Or calculate a custom number

EOI Submission Trends

Feb 24 – May 26

Latest

741

MoM Change

-4 (-0.5%)

Peak Month

Feb 26 (753)

Invitation Trends

Apr 24 – May 26

Latest

51

MoM Change

+2 (4.1%)

Peak Month

Sep 25 (107)

EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)

05/2026 snapshot · 741 submitted EOIs in queue

SkillSelect ↗

Peak Points

65

At 70+ pts

408

Below Cutoff

330

EOI Queue Age

Backlog by submission month — 05/2026 snapshot

Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.

SkillSelect ↗
≥

In Queue

741

Oldest Waiting

May 24

Total Invited

122

Likelyⓘ

~7 mo ~ ~7 mo

Jan 2027~7 mo
Jan 2027Likely
Jan 2027~7 mo
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.

189 Occupation CeilingTier 3

2025-26 · Metal Fitters and Machinists (3232xx)

FOI source ↗

Ceiling

1,244

1.0% multiplier

Grants (190/491/ENS)

371

Remaining for 189

873

Spots left (FY)

862 – 863

Tier Meaning

Standard priority — moderate demand

Point Reality Gauge

Legal minimum vs actual invited

Minimum (65)Actual (70)

Key Insights for Metal Machinist (First Class)

  • ↑

    Points are rising. Competition is increasing for Metal Machinist (First Class). Consider boosting your points through additional qualifications or regional pathways.

  • ⚠

    Still 30 points above the legal minimum. Despite current trends, Metal Machinist (First Class) remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 95 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.

  • ℹ

    5 rounds so far in FY25-26. Metal Machinist (First Class) has been included in 5 invitation rounds this financial year. More rounds generally indicate sustained demand from the Department.

Minimum Points Invited

All sources · 14 data points

Est. Invitations Per Round

Federal SkillSelect · 6 rounds

Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.

A profile of the invited

Period:
n =
8

community-reported invitations, spanning 0 onshore and 8 offshore.

Median pts

70

Most common

65(3×)

Invitation points

Five-point bins, with the median annotated in amber.

Where they were

Onshore vs. offshore at time of invitation.

0%onshore

Salary

Disclosed by 0 of 8 contributors

No salary self-reports for this scope.

Partnered status

The four points-claim categories.

Partner English1100%

English

Self-claimed proficiency points (0 / 10 / 20).

NAATI / CCL

Credentialled community language points.

Community-reported invitees only — applicants who weren't invited aren't here. Cells with fewer than 5 contributors are hidden for privacy. A portrait of the cohort, not a recipe.

Round History

Source:
  • 190QLDCommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190QLDCommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190QLDCommunity
    70
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 189Federal
    95
    Est. Invitations
    ~13Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189Federal
    85
    Est. Invitations
    ~9Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 190NSWCommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 491NSWCommunity
    90
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 189Federal
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ~19Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 190SACommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190SACommunity
    65
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 190NSWCommunity
    80
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 491Federal
    65
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189Federal
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ~45Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189Federal
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ~16Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced

190/491 State Nominations

EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation

NSW✓Eligible

151EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

64(42%)

27M Trend

↑ 955%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

VIC✓Eligible

130EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

73(56%)

27M Trend

↑ 1614%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

QLD✓Eligible

132EOIs

Building & Construction

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

63(48%)

27M Trend

↑ 1040%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

SA?Unknown

149EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

82(55%)

27M Trend

↑ 1042%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

WA?Unknown

125EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

71(57%)

27M Trend

↑ 1350%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

TAS?Unknown

55EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

30(55%)

27M Trend

↑ 5400%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

NT?Unknown

61EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

35(57%)

27M Trend

↑ 5700%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

ACT?Unknown

68EOIs

Peak Bracket

65pts

Above Cutoff ≥70

37(54%)

27M Trend

↑ 1140%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.

Related occupations

Metal Fitters and Machinists 3232