Physicist· ANZSCO 234914

MLTSSL

Subclass 189, 190, 491 invitation rounds, points cut-offs & EOI trends

Latest invitation rounds

Subclass 189

invited at 85 pts on 13 November 2025

down from 90 pts · ~8 invitations issued · cut-off range 85–95 over the past 6 rounds · 2 rounds so far in FY25-26 · trend rising

Subclass 190

invited at 75 pts on 5 March 2026

down from 80 pts · 2 rounds so far in FY25-26

Subclass 491

invited at 85 pts on 8 December 2022

unchanged from previous round · ~0 invitations issued · 1 round so far in FY22-23

Subclass 189 wait estimates · May 2026 EOI pool

80
Points
41
Ahead
about 1 month
85
Points
27
Ahead
about 1 month
90
Points
18
Ahead
less than a month
95
Points
8
Ahead
less than a month

These are model averages across the queue — for your personal rank and wait based on your own DOE, jump to Check My Score below.

189 estimates are most reliable; 190 and 491 outcomes depend heavily on state nomination policy, occupation lists, and per-state quotas, which this model does not directly incorporate.

Latest Points (190)

75

Down from 80

Last Invited

5 March 2026

Subclass 190

FY25-26 Rounds

4

rounds so far this FY

Trend Direction

Stable

Points steady over recent rounds

Check My Score

Enter your points and date of effect to see your queue rank, estimated wait time, and invitation probability — not just a likelihood score.

Calculate invitation predictions

Compare all occupations

See the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Physicist if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.

At a glance — by round size

If 10 invited

90≤ Jan 26

If 20 invited

85≤ Nov 25

If 50 invited

75≤ Mar 26

If 100 invited

All invited (93)

If 200 invited

All invited (93)

If 500 invited

All invited (93)

If 1000 invited

All invited (93)

Or calculate a custom number

EOI Submission Trends

Feb 24 – May 26

Latest

391

MoM Change

+3 (0.8%)

Peak Month

May 26 (391)

Invitation Trends

Feb 24 – May 26

Latest

31

MoM Change

-7 (-18.4%)

Peak Month

Nov 25 (81)

EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)

05/2026 snapshot · 391 submitted EOIs in queue

SkillSelect ↗

Peak Points

75

At 75+ pts

289

Below Cutoff

102

EOI Queue Age

Backlog by submission month — 05/2026 snapshot

Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.

SkillSelect ↗
≥

In Queue

391

Oldest Waiting

May 24

Total Invited

118

Likelyⓘ

~9 mo ~ ~9 mo

Mar 2027~9 mo
Mar 2027Likely
Mar 2027~9 mo
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.

189 Occupation CeilingTier 3

2025-26 · Other Natural and Physical Science Professionals (2349xx)

FOI source ↗

Ceiling

500

1.0% multiplier

Grants (190/491/ENS)

59

Remaining for 189

441

Spots left (FY)

360 – 372

Tier Meaning

Standard priority — moderate demand

Point Reality Gauge

Legal minimum vs actual invited

Minimum (65)Actual (75)

Key Insights for Physicist

  • ↔

    Points are stable. The minimum invited score has remained consistent over recent rounds. Expect similar thresholds in the near future.

  • ⚠

    Still 20 points above the legal minimum. Despite current trends, Physicist remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 85 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.

  • ℹ

    4 rounds so far in FY25-26. Physicist has been included in 4 invitation rounds this financial year. More rounds generally indicate sustained demand from the Department.

Minimum Points Invited

All sources · 11 data points

Est. Invitations Per Round

Federal SkillSelect · 9 rounds

Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.

A profile of the invited

Period:
n =
6

community-reported invitations, spanning 3 onshore and 3 offshore.

Median pts

100

Most common

100(3×)

Invitation points

Five-point bins, with the median annotated in amber.

Where they were

Onshore vs. offshore at time of invitation.

50%onshore

Salary

Disclosed by 0 of 6 contributors

No salary self-reports for this scope.

Partnered status

The four points-claim categories.

Single150%
Partner English150%

English

Self-claimed proficiency points (0 / 10 / 20).

NAATI / CCL

Credentialled community language points.

Community-reported invitees only — applicants who weren't invited aren't here. Cells with fewer than 5 contributors are hidden for privacy. A portrait of the cohort, not a recipe.

Round History

Source:
  • N/AWAOfficial
    75
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • N/AWAOfficial
    80
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    in_state
  • 189Federal
    85
    Est. Invitations
    ~8Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189FederalCommunity
    85
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 189Federal
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ~5Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189FederalCommunity
    100
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189FederalCommunity
    95
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 189FederalCommunity
    100
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189Federal
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ~12Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189FederalCommunity
    90
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    offshore
  • 189Federal
    95
    Est. Invitations
    ~6Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189Federal
    95
    Est. Invitations
    ~4Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189FederalCommunity
    100
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    💰-
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    onshore
  • 189Federal
    90
    Est. Invitations
    ~27Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 491Federal
    85
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 189Federal
    65
    Est. Invitations
    ~9Est.
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
  • 491Federal
    85
    Est. Invitations
    —
    ·
    Salary
    —
    ·
    DOE / EOI
    —
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced

190/491 State Nominations

EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation

NSW?Unknown

63EOIs

Peak Bracket

90+pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

50(79%)

27M Trend

↑ 1450%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

VIC✓Eligible

69EOIs

Peak Bracket

90+pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

49(71%)

27M Trend

↑ 6400%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

QLD?Unknown

32EOIs

Peak Bracket

75pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

26(81%)

27M Trend

↑ 1500%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

SA?Unknown

56EOIs

Peak Bracket

90+pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

40(71%)

27M Trend

↑ 2450%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

WA?Unknown

69EOIs

Peak Bracket

90+pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

49(71%)

27M Trend

↑ 2033%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

TAS?Unknown

19EOIs

Peak Bracket

90+pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

14(74%)

27M Trend

↑ 1800%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

NT?Unknown

17EOIs

Peak Bracket

90+pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

13(76%)

27M Trend

↑ 1600%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

ACT?Unknown

50EOIs

Peak Bracket

90+pts

Above Cutoff ≥75

36(72%)

27M Trend

↑ 1400%

Points Distribution

Queue Trend (27M)

Invited & Lodged (27M)

EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.

Related occupations

Other Natural and Physical Science Professionals 2349