189Federal
80- Est. Invitations
- ~70Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
Thoracic Medicine Specialist· ANZSCO 253324
MLTSSL
Subclass 189, 190, 491 invitation rounds, points cut-offs & EOI trends
Latest invitation rounds
Subclass 189
invited at 80 pts on 13 November 2025
unchanged from previous round · ~70 invitations issued · cut-off range 75–80 over the past 3 rounds · 2 rounds so far in FY25-26 · trend stable
Subclass 190
No recent invitation round on file.
Subclass 491
invited at 75 pts on 25 May 2023
~1 invitation issued · 1 round so far in FY22-23
Subclass 189 wait estimates · May 2026 EOI pool
80
Points
1
Ahead
less than a month
85
Points
1
Ahead
less than a month
90
Points
1
Ahead
less than a month
95
Points
1
Ahead
less than a month
These are model averages across the queue — for your personal rank and wait based on your own DOE, jump to Check My Score below.
189 estimates are most reliable; 190 and 491 outcomes depend heavily on state nomination policy, occupation lists, and per-state quotas, which this model does not directly incorporate.
Latest Points (189)
80
Unchanged
Last Invited
13 November 2025
Subclass 189
FY25-26 Rounds
2
rounds so far this FY
Trend Direction
Stable
Points steady over recent rounds
Check My Score
Enter your points and date of effect to see your queue rank, estimated wait time, and invitation probability — not just a likelihood score.
Calculate invitation predictions
Compare all occupationsSee the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Thoracic Medicine Specialist if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.
At a glance — by round size
If 10 invited
All invited (2)
If 20 invited
All invited (2)
If 50 invited
All invited (2)
If 100 invited
All invited (2)
If 200 invited
All invited (2)
If 500 invited
All invited (2)
If 1000 invited
All invited (2)
Or calculate a custom number
EOI Submission Trends
May 24 – May 26
Latest
3
MoM Change
0 (0.0%)
Peak Month
Jan 25 (5)
Invitation Trends
Jun 24 – Apr 26
Latest
1
MoM Change
0 (0.0%)
Peak Month
Jun 24 (2)
EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)
05/2026 snapshot · 3 submitted EOIs in queue
Peak Points
70
At 80+ pts
2
Below Cutoff
1
EOI Queue Age
Backlog by submission month — 05/2026 snapshot
Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.
≥
In Queue
3
Oldest Waiting
May 24
Total Invited
8
Likelyⓘ
~0 mo ~ ~0 mo
Jun 2026~0 mo
Jun 2026Likely
Jun 2026~0 mo
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.
189 Occupation CeilingTier 1
2025-26 · Specialist Physicians (2533xx)
Ceiling
578
4.0% multiplier
Grants (190/491/ENS)
105
Remaining for 189
473
Spots left (FY)
425 – 432
Tier Meaning
Highest priority — severe national shortage
Point Reality Gauge
Legal minimum vs actual invited
Minimum (65)Actual (80)
Key Insights for Thoracic Medicine Specialist
- ↔
Points are stable. The minimum invited score has remained consistent over recent rounds. Expect similar thresholds in the near future.
- ⚠
Still 15 points above the legal minimum. Despite current trends, Thoracic Medicine Specialist remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 80 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.
- ℹ
2 rounds so far in FY25-26. Thoracic Medicine Specialist has been included in 2 invitation rounds this financial year. More rounds generally indicate sustained demand from the Department.
Minimum Points Invited
All sources · 4 data points
Est. Invitations Per Round
Federal SkillSelect · 4 rounds
Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.
Round History
| Date | Subclass | Source | Points | Est. Invitations | Salary | DOE / EOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 189 | Federal | 80 | 1–1 | — | — | |
| 21 Aug 2025 | 189 | Federal | 80 | 1–1 | — | — | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | Federal | 75 | 2–4 | — | — | |
| 25 May 2023 | 491 | Federal | 75 | ~1Est. | — | — |
- ··
- 189Federal80
- Est. Invitations
- ~53Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189Federal75
- Est. Invitations
- ~93Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 491Federal75
- Est. Invitations
- ~1Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
··
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced
190/491 State Nominations
EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation
1EOIs
Peak Bracket
80pts
Above Cutoff ≥80
1(100%)
25M Trend
↓ 50%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (25M)
No EOI data available for this occupation.
No EOI data available for this occupation.
No EOI data available for this occupation.
No EOI data available for this occupation.
No EOI data available for this occupation.
No EOI data available for this occupation.
No EOI data available for this occupation.
EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.
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