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Cardiothoracic Surgeon vs Paediatric Surgeon

Same points, same date — which occupation gives you the better odds?

Subclass
Add an occupationPro
Subclass 189 rounds have paused since Aug 21, 2025.Two at a time on the free plan.Compare up to 20 with Pro →
A
Cardiothoracic Surgeon
253512·189
◐ Borderline
85PTS
Chance of invitation
Moderate chance of invitation
Est. wait~0 mo
Your spot in the pool
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
30 figures · each ≈ 1 EOIs · front invited first
← front (invited first)2 total EOIs
Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE0
Youtop 1% · DOE 12 Sep 2026★
At your score, behind you0
Below youlower scores2
This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places
You · #1
★
front of queue477 est. places
Pool by points · submitted EOIs
265
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
0Jul0Aug
View occupation page →
B
Paediatric Surgeon
253516·189
◐ Borderline
85PTS
Chance of invitation
Moderate chance of invitation
Your spot in the pool
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
30 figures · each ≈ 1 EOIs · front invited first
← front (invited first)0 total EOIs
Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE0
YouDOE 12 Sep 2026★
At your score, behind you0
Below youlower scores0
This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places
You · #1
★
front of queue477 est. places
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
0Jul0Aug
View occupation page →
Show full table
Cardiothoracic Surgeon253512Paediatric Surgeon253516
Capacity477 · FY2026-27477 · FY2026-27
Standing#— of 196#— of 196
Queue position0 ahead0 ahead
Latest round2024-11-07 · 85 pts2025-08-21 · 85 pts
EOI data · pool & queue trend21
EOI data · submission & invitation trend——
Next round——
Open states3 listed3 listed
Invited profile——
Assessing authorityMedBAMedBA
Where they differ — subclass 189, 85 points

Capacity

Occupations in unit group 2535 share 477 places left.

A · Cardiothoracic Surgeon

189 places · 2026-27estimated
500est. ceiling
477est. 189 places · 477 left

Unit group 2535 · 2025-26 official: 500 ceiling · 477 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 2 data points
908580
8585you 85
2024Nov 24

B · Paediatric Surgeon

189 places · 2026-27estimated
500est. ceiling
477est. 189 places · 477 left

Unit group 2535 · 2025-26 official: 500 ceiling · 477 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 1 data points
908580
85you 85
2025

Standing

Paediatric Surgeon ranks higher: #1 vs #0 for Cardiothoracic Surgeon.

A · Cardiothoracic Surgeon

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked
—· top 95%
▼ Falling −1 yoy
leader 6,052median 48you
Invited 2 of 5 rounds · Occasional
oldest → newest · filled = invited
Year over year
1last FY
0this FY
▼ −100%
Round to round · last 2 FY
1
—
—
—
—
▼ Falling · invites per round

B · Paediatric Surgeon

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked
—· top 96%
▲ Rising +1 yoy
leader 6,052median 48you
Invited 1 of 5 rounds · Rare
oldest → newest · filled = invited
Year over year
0last FY
1this FY
Round to round · last 2 FY
—
—
1
—
—
→ Steady · invites per round

Queue position

Both have the same number of people ahead of you.

A · Cardiothoracic Surgeon

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 2
75POINTS
0
0/2 met
80POINTS
0
0/2 met
85POINTS
0
2/2 met
90POINTS
0
2/2 met
95POINTS
0
2/2 met

B · Paediatric Surgeon

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 1
75POINTS
—
0/1 met
80POINTS
—
0/1 met
85POINTS
—
1/1 met
90POINTS
—
1/1 met
95POINTS
—
1/1 met

Latest round

The latest cutoff is the same for both.

A · Cardiothoracic Surgeon

189 · last round 7 Nov 2024
Min points85
Invited0
Rounds FY2

Unchanged vs previous round

Other subclasses491 · 75 pts · 25 May 2023

See full round history →

B · Paediatric Surgeon

189 · last round 21 Aug 2025
Min points85
Invited0
Rounds FY1

Other subclasses491 · 75 pts · 22 Aug 2022

See full round history →

EOI data · pool & queue trend

Paediatric Surgeon has a smaller EOI pool: 1 (– vs last month) vs 2 (0) for Cardiothoracic Surgeon.

A · Cardiothoracic Surgeon

EOI pool by points · 08/20262 in the pool
2you
6565656565

Queue at your points · 6 months

03/2026 · 004/2026 · 005/2026 · 006/2026 · 007/2026 · 008/2026 · 0

0 at 85+ pts

▬ 0 vs last month

B · Paediatric Surgeon

EOI pool by points · 08/20260 in the pool

Queue at your points · 6 months

03/2026 · 004/2026 · 005/2026 · 006/2026 · 007/2026 · 008/2026 · 0

0 at 85+ pts

▬ 0 vs last month

EOI data · submission & invitation trend

Cardiothoracic Surgeon drew more invitations last month: 2 vs 1 for Paediatric Surgeon. Pools: 2 (0) vs 1 (–).

A · Cardiothoracic Surgeon

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month
peak Nov 25 · 22
Aug 24Aug 25Aug 26
Subclass 189all points
Latest2
MoM change0(0.0%)
Peak monthNov 252
Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month
peak Oct 24 · 22
Sep 24Nov 24Dec 24
Subclass 189all points
Latest2
MoM change0(0.0%)
Peak monthOct 242

B · Paediatric Surgeon

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month
1
Jul 25
Subclass 189all points
Latest1
MoM change—
Peak monthJul 251
Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month
peak Aug 25 · 11
Aug 25Oct 25Nov 25
Subclass 189all points
Latest1
MoM change0(0.0%)
Peak monthAug 251

Next round

No next-round estimate available.

A · Cardiothoracic Surgeon

Next 189 round · at a glancepoints · DOE ≤
If 10 invitedqueue cleared
If 50 invitedqueue cleared
If 100 invitedqueue cleared
If 200 invitedqueue cleared

B · Paediatric Surgeon

No 189 round projection for this occupation yet.

Open states

Both are open in the same number of states.

Subclass 189 is the federal, points-tested stream — states do not nominate for it. Switch to 190 or 491 to compare open states.

Invited profile

At least one occupation has no state-nomination community data, so this row isn't compared.

Subclass 189 has no state-nomination community data. Compare on 190 or 491 to see an invited profile.

Assessing authority

MedBA may assess both occupations. Verify on the assessing authority's site before you apply.

MedBA

  • Assessment details →
Not sure which one? Save both and decide later.