Compare

Cardiothoracic Surgeon vs Orthopaedic Surgeon

Same points, same date — which occupation gives you the better odds?

Cardiothoracic Surgeon

253512·189

◐ Borderline

85PTS

Chance of invitation

Moderate chance of invitation

Est. wait~0 mo

Your spot in the pool

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

30 figures · each ≈ 1 EOIs · front invited first

← front (invited first)2 total EOIs

Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE0

Youtop 1% · DOE 12 Sep 2026★

At your score, behind you0

Below youlower scores2

This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places

You · #1

★

front of queue477 est. places

Pool by points · submitted EOIs

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

View occupation page →

Orthopaedic Surgeon

253514·189

★ Strong chance

85PTS

Chance of invitation

Strong chance of invitation

Est. wait189 effectively closed

Your spot in the pool

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

30 figures · each ≈ 1 EOIs · front invited first

← front (invited first)7 total EOIs

Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE1

Youtop 14% · DOE 12 Sep 2026★

At your score, behind you0

Below youlower scores6

This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places

You · #2

★

front of queue477 est. places

Pool by points · submitted EOIs

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

View occupation page →

Together

Queue position Cardiothoracic Surgeon has fewer people ahead of you: 0 vs 1 for Orthopaedic Surgeon.

Show full table

	Cardiothoracic Surgeon253512	Orthopaedic Surgeon253514
Capacity	477 · FY2026-27	477 · FY2026-27
Standing	#— of 196	#— of 196
Queue position	0 ahead	1 ahead
Latest round	2024-11-07 · 85 pts	2026-06-04 · 85 pts
EOI data · pool & queue trend	2	7
EOI data · submission & invitation trend	—	—
Next round	—	—
Open states	3 listed	3 listed
Invited profile	—	—
Assessing authority	MedBA	MedBA

Where they differ — subclass 189, 85 points

Capacity

Occupations in unit group 2535 share 477 places left.

189 places · 2026-27estimated

500est. ceiling

477est. 189 places · 477 left

Unit group 2535 · 2025-26 official: 500 ceiling · 477 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 2 data points

908580

8585you 85

2024Nov 24

189 places · 2026-27estimated

500est. ceiling

477est. 189 places · 477 left

Unit group 2535 · 2025-26 official: 500 ceiling · 477 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 6 data points

1008060

956575858585you 85

20222024June 26

Standing

Orthopaedic Surgeon ranks higher: #4 vs #0 for Cardiothoracic Surgeon.

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked

—· top 95%

▼ Falling −1 yoy

leader 6,052median 48you

Invited 2 of 5 rounds · Occasional
oldest → newest · filled = invited

Year over year

1last FY

0this FY

▼ −100%

Round to round · last 2 FY

—

▼ Falling · invites per round

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked

—· top 77%

▼ Falling −1 yoy

leader 6,052median 48you

Invited 4 of 5 rounds · Regular
oldest → newest · filled = invited

Year over year

5last FY

4this FY

▼ −20%

Round to round · last 2 FY

—

▼ Falling · invites per round

Queue position

Cardiothoracic Surgeon has fewer people ahead of you: 0 vs 1 for Orthopaedic Surgeon.

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 2

75POINTS

0/2 met

80POINTS

0/2 met

85POINTS

2/2 met

90POINTS

2/2 met

95POINTS

2/2 met

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 6

75POINTS

2/6 met

80POINTS

2/6 met

85POINTS

5/6 met

90POINTS

5/6 met

95POINTS

6/6 met

Latest round

The latest cutoff is the same for both.

189 · last round 7 Nov 2024

Min points85

Invited0

Rounds FY2

Unchanged vs previous round

Other subclasses491 · 75 pts · 25 May 2023

See full round history →

189 · last round 4 June 2026↑ Rising

Min points85

Invited0

Rounds FY3

Unchanged vs previous round

65–95 pts over last 6 rounds

Other subclasses491 · 95 pts · 22 Aug 2022

See full round history →

EOI data · pool & queue trend

Cardiothoracic Surgeon has a smaller EOI pool: 2 (0 vs last month) vs 7 (+2) for Orthopaedic Surgeon.

EOI pool by points · 08/20262 in the pool

2you

6565656565

Queue at your points · 6 months

0 at 85+ pts

▬ 0 vs last month

EOI pool by points · 08/20267 in the pool

1111111you

5565708085

Queue at your points · 6 months

1 at 85+ pts

▲ 1 vs last month

EOI data · submission & invitation trend

Cardiothoracic Surgeon drew more invitations last month: 2 vs 1 for Orthopaedic Surgeon. Pools: 2 (0) vs 7 (+2).

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month

Aug 24Aug 25Aug 26

Subclass 189all points

Latest2

MoM change0(0.0%)

Peak monthNov 252

Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month

Sep 24Nov 24Dec 24

Subclass 189all points

Latest2

MoM change0(0.0%)

Peak monthOct 242

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month

Jul 24Aug 25Aug 26

Subclass 189all points

Latest7

MoM change+2(40.0%)

Peak monthAug 267

Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month

Nov 24Sep 25Aug 26

Subclass 189all points

Latest1

MoM change0(0.0%)

Peak monthNov 243

Next round

No next-round estimate available.

Next 189 round · at a glancepoints · DOE ≤

If 10 invitedqueue cleared

If 50 invitedqueue cleared

If 100 invitedqueue cleared

If 200 invitedqueue cleared

Next 189 round · at a glancepoints · DOE ≤

If 10 invitedqueue cleared

If 50 invitedqueue cleared

If 100 invitedqueue cleared

If 200 invitedqueue cleared

Open states

Both are open in the same number of states.

Subclass 189 is the federal, points-tested stream — states do not nominate for it. Switch to 190 or 491 to compare open states.

Invited profile

At least one occupation has no state-nomination community data, so this row isn't compared.

Subclass 189 has no state-nomination community data. Compare on 190 or 491 to see an invited profile.

Assessing authority

MedBA may assess both occupations. Verify on the assessing authority's site before you apply.

MedBA

Assessment details →

Not sure which one? Save both and decide later.