The short answer
People Victoria invited in January–June 2026 would score about 680 on the Victorian Points Test (VPT).
That is our estimate from 160 community-reported cards of people Victoria invited to apply for 190 or 491 nomination, 73 of which show a full points breakdown. These people were invited under the old 2025–26 program, before the VPT existed. No one has been invited on the VPT yet: Victoria opened 2026–27 ROIs on 26 October 2026 and expects its first round in November.
People Victoria invited in January–June 2026, re-scored on the Victorian Points Test
Why it’s a range, not a score
The cards show SkillSelect points, and SkillSelect scores in bands. The VPT needs finer detail, so each card fits several VPT totals. We counted every total a card allows, gave each the same weight, and took the middle of the whole group. For a typical card, the lowest and highest possible VPT totals are about 140 points apart (most cards are 110–160 points wide).
One card → one VPT range (example)
- Age 30 points (25–32)
- English 20 (superior)
- Education 15 (bachelor's or master's)
- Australian experience 5 (1–3 years)
- Skilled partner 10 (occupation not shown)
- Not working in Victoria
Possible VPT totals: 576–735 · average 667
| VPT factor (max) | What the card shows | How sure |
|---|---|---|
| Age (300) | An age band only: 30 SkillSelect points means 25–32; 25 points means 18–24 or 33–39. | Widest range |
| English (200) | Competent, proficient or superior. | Exact |
| Education (100) | 15 points can be a bachelor's (50 on the VPT) or a master's (75). | One of two |
| Experience (100) | SkillSelect bands (1–3, 3–5, 5–8 years) don't line up with the VPT's (2–3, 4–5, 6–7). | Range |
| Skill level (50) | From the occupation code. | Exact |
| Partner (50) | The partner's occupation is often not shown, so we can't always check the priority list. | Sometimes |
| Victorian earnings (150) | Only some cards show both a salary and living in Victoria. | Often unknown |
Age causes the most uncertainty: SkillSelect’s 25-point band covers both 18–24 and 33–39, which sit at opposite ends of the VPT’s age table.
Next to this year’s ROIs
On our Victorian ROI pool, 121 ImmiTrend users shared the ROI they planned before Victoria opened. Their median VPT is 625, about 55 points below the invitees’ ≈ 680. (20 have confirmed they submitted so far; the pool switches to confirmed ROIs at 30.)
That gap is worth knowing, but don’t read it as “you need 680”. The two groups were picked in different ways, and the invitee figure is an estimate. Sign in free on the pool page to see both groups side by side, band by band.
A third of last year’s places
On 26 October 2026 Victoria announced 900 nomination places for subclass 190 in 2026–27, down from 2,700 in 2025–26: exactly a third. Its subclass 491 places haven’t been finalised yet. Almost all the cards we re-scored (72 of 73) are subclass 190, so this is the comparison that matters.
Victoria's subclass 190 nomination places
A rough way to read it: if a similar crowd applies and Victoria can only nominate a third as many people, the cut-off would land around where the top third of last year’s invitees start, about 700 on the VPT, not 680. Only 10 of the 121 planned ROIs on our pool (8%) are at or above 700; 25 (21%) are at or above 680.
Treat 700 as a scenario, not a forecast. Victoria can invite more people than it has places (not everyone invited ends up nominated), the priority industries are ranked separately, and the new $66 ROI fee may thin the crowd.
Priority occupations
Victoria ranks its four priority industries (Healthcare, Social assistance, Education and Construction) separately from “most competitive”. Only 6 of the January–June cards are priority occupations, too few to show, so for this one comparison we use Victoria’s whole 2025–26 program (cards from October 2025 to June 2026): 25 priority and 93 other cards with a points breakdown.
2025–26 invitees by occupation type · VPT estimate
Priority invitees sat about 80 points lower than the rest, and this year’s priority planners (median 600) are close to them. In the a-third-of-the-places scenario, a priority applicant would look at about 630, not 700. Treat it with extra care: 25 cards is a small sample (10 of them from November 2025), and Healthcare, Social assistance and Construction have too few cards to show on their own.
Why it isn’t a cut-off
- Far fewer places. 900 subclass 190 places this year against 2,700 last year, so the real cut-off is more likely to sit above 680 than below it.
- Different rules. These people were chosen under Victoria’s 2025–26 criteria. 2026–27 ranks ROIs by VPT total, with no pass mark.
- Two streams. 2026–27 ranks the priority industries (Healthcare, Social assistance, Education, Construction) separately from “most competitive”. Across the whole 2025–26 program, priority invitees sat about 80 points lower (see above).
- An estimate from banded data. Each card is a range, and some factors, like Victorian earnings, are often unknown.
- Who reports. Community cards come from people who chose to post them, not from Victoria.
What to do before the first round
- Work out your VPT with the official 2026–27 tables.
- Check where you sit on the ROI pool, and compare with the January–June 2026 invitees (free sign-in).
- Submitted your ROI? Confirm it on the pool. After each round we’ll ask one question, “were you invited?”, and publish the lowest invited band.
After Victoria’s first VPT round we’ll put this estimate next to what actually happened.
Thank you
This post exists because people shared. Thank you to the 121 ImmiTrend users who added their planned ROI to the Victorian ROI pool, the 20 who have already confirmed they submitted, and everyone who posted their invitation card in the community. Every entry makes the picture a little less of a guess for the next person.
Planning a Victorian ROI? Work out your VPT and add it to the pool, and after each round tell us whether you were invited. The more people share, the closer these estimates get to the real thing.
Frequently asked questions
›What VPT score do I need for Victoria in 2026–27?
No one knows yet. The VPT has no pass mark and each round invites the highest totals, and Victoria's first 2026–27 round is expected in November 2026. As a reference point only, people Victoria invited in January–June 2026 would score about 680 on the VPT. With 900 subclass 190 places this year against 2,700 last year, expect the real cut-off to be higher.
›Is 680 a cut-off?
No. It is the estimated middle score of people invited under the old 2025–26 program, before the VPT existed. Victoria's 2026–27 rounds rank by VPT total, with priority industries ranked separately, and there are a third as many subclass 190 places, so the real cut-off is more likely to be higher than lower.
›Where does this data come from?
From community-reported cards of people Victoria invited to apply for 190 or 491 nomination, dated January–June 2026. Of 160 cards, 73 show a full SkillSelect points breakdown; we re-scored those on Victoria's official 2026–27 VPT tables. Later SkillSelect-invitation cards are left out so no one is counted twice. It is not Victoria's data.
›Why can't you give each invitee's exact VPT?
The cards show SkillSelect points, which come in bands. Age, education, experience, partner and Victorian earnings can each mean several VPT values, so each card is a range, typically about 140 points wide. We report the middle of the whole group.
›How do priority occupations compare?
Too few of the January–June 2026 cards (6) are priority occupations to show, so we looked across Victoria's whole 2025–26 program instead. There, 25 priority invitees would score about 585 on the VPT, against about 665 for the other 93: roughly 80 points lower. In the a-third-of-the-places scenario that's about 630 for priority versus about 690. It's a small sample, so treat it as a rough guide; Healthcare, Social assistance and Construction have too few cards to show on their own.
›Victoria has fewer places this year. What does that mean for the score?
Victoria has 900 subclass 190 nomination places for 2026–27, a third of last year's 2,700. If a similar crowd applies, the cut-off would land around where the top third of last year's invitees start: about 700 on the VPT. Only 10 of the 121 planned ROIs on our pool are at or above 700. It's a scenario, not a forecast: Victoria can invite more people than it has places, and priority industries are ranked separately.
Figures as of 31 October 2026. General information only, not migration advice. Victoria decides nominations; for your own case, speak to a MARA-registered migration agent.