Compare

Paediatrician vs Thoracic Medicine Specialist

Same points, same date — which occupation gives you the better odds?

Paediatrician

253321·189

★ Strong chance

85PTS

Chance of invitation

Strong chance of invitation

Est. wait~4 mo

Your spot in the pool

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

30 figures · each ≈ 1 EOIs · front invited first

← front (invited first)16 total EOIs

Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE1

Youtop 6% · DOE 13 Sep 2026★

At your score, behind you0

Below youlower scores15

This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places

You · #2

★

front of queue509 est. places

Pool by points · submitted EOIs

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

View occupation page →

Thoracic Medicine Specialist

253324·189

★ Strong chance

85PTS

Chance of invitation

Strong chance of invitation

Your spot in the pool

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

30 figures · each ≈ 1 EOIs · front invited first

← front (invited first)1 total EOIs

Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE0

Youtop 1% · DOE 13 Sep 2026★

At your score, behind you0

Below youlower scores1

This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places

You · #1

★

front of queue509 est. places

Pool by points · submitted EOIs

EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27

View occupation page →

Together

Queue position Thoracic Medicine Specialist has fewer people ahead of you: 0 vs 1 for Paediatrician.

Latest round Paediatrician's latest cutoff is lower: 75 vs 95 for Thoracic Medicine Specialist.

Show full table

	Paediatrician253321	Thoracic Medicine Specialist253324
Capacity	509 · FY2026-27	509 · FY2026-27
Standing	#— of 196	#— of 196
Queue position	1 ahead	0 ahead
Latest round	2026-06-04 · 75 pts	2026-06-04 · 95 pts
EOI data · pool & queue trend	14	1
EOI data · submission & invitation trend	—	—
Next round	—	—
Open states	3 listed	3 listed
Invited profile	—	—
Assessing authority	MedBA	MedBA

Where they differ — subclass 189, 85 points

Capacity

Occupations in unit group 2533 share 509 places left.

189 places · 2026-27estimated

614est. ceiling

509est. 189 places · 509 left

Unit group 2533 · 2025-26 official: 578 ceiling · 473 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 11 data points

957860

75you 85

20222024June 26

189 places · 2026-27estimated

614est. ceiling

509est. 189 places · 509 left

Unit group 2533 · 2025-26 official: 578 ceiling · 473 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 4 data points

1008570

75808095you 85

20242025June 26

Standing

Paediatrician ranks higher: #14 vs #3 for Thoracic Medicine Specialist.

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked

—· top 64%

▲ Rising +4 yoy

leader 6,052median 48you

Invited 5 of 5 rounds · Regular
oldest → newest · filled = invited

Year over year

10last FY

14this FY

▲ +40%

Round to round · last 2 FY

→ Steady · invites per round

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked

—· top 83%

→ Steady 0 yoy

leader 6,052median 48you

Invited 4 of 5 rounds · Regular
oldest → newest · filled = invited

Year over year

3last FY

3this FY

→ 0%

Round to round · last 2 FY

—

▼ Falling · invites per round

Queue position

Thoracic Medicine Specialist has fewer people ahead of you: 0 vs 1 for Paediatrician.

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 6

75POINTS

3/6 met

80POINTS

4/6 met

85POINTS

6/6 met

90POINTS

6/6 met

95POINTS

6/6 met

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 4

75POINTS

1/4 met

80POINTS

3/4 met

85POINTS

3/4 met

90POINTS

3/4 met

95POINTS

4/4 met

Latest round

Paediatrician's latest cutoff is lower: 75 vs 95 for Thoracic Medicine Specialist.

189 · last round 4 June 2026Stable

Min points75

Invited0

Rounds FY3

Unchanged vs previous round

75–85 pts over last 6 rounds

Other subclasses190 · 95 pts · 1 Feb 2026491 · 70 pts · 25 May 2023

See full round history →

189 · last round 4 June 2026↑ Rising

Min points95

Invited0

Rounds FY3

Up from 80 vs previous round

75–95 pts over last 4 rounds

Other subclasses491 · 75 pts · 25 May 2023

See full round history →

EOI data · pool & queue trend

Thoracic Medicine Specialist has a smaller EOI pool: 1 (0 vs last month) vs 14 (+4) for Paediatrician.

EOI pool by points · 08/202614 in the pool

11232221you

5060707585

Queue at your points · 6 months

1 at 85+ pts

▲ 1 vs last month

EOI pool by points · 08/20261 in the pool

1you

6565959595

Queue at your points · 6 months

0 at 85+ pts

▬ 0 vs last month

EOI data · submission & invitation trend

Both drew the same number of invitations last month.

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month

Feb 24May 25Aug 26

Subclass 189all points

Latest14

MoM change+4(40.0%)

Peak monthAug 2614

Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month

Feb 24Apr 25Aug 26

Subclass 189all points

Latest1

MoM change-4(-80.0%)

Peak monthDec 258

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month

May 24Jul 25Aug 26

Subclass 189all points

Latest1

MoM change0(0.0%)

Peak monthJan 253

Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month

Jun 24Nov 25Aug 26

Subclass 189all points

Latest1

MoM change0(0.0%)

Peak monthNov 242

Next round

No next-round estimate available.

Next 189 round · at a glancepoints · DOE ≤

If 10 invited65DOE ≤ May 26

If 50 invitedqueue cleared

If 100 invitedqueue cleared

If 200 invitedqueue cleared

Next 189 round · at a glancepoints · DOE ≤

If 10 invitedqueue cleared

If 50 invitedqueue cleared

If 100 invitedqueue cleared

If 200 invitedqueue cleared

Open states

Both are open in the same number of states.

Subclass 189 is the federal, points-tested stream — states do not nominate for it. Switch to 190 or 491 to compare open states.

Invited profile

At least one occupation has no state-nomination community data, so this row isn't compared.

Subclass 189 has no state-nomination community data. Compare on 190 or 491 to see an invited profile.

Assessing authority

MedBA may assess both occupations. Verify on the assessing authority's site before you apply.

MedBA

Assessment details →

Not sure which one? Save both and decide later.