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Emergency Medicine Specialist vs Ophthalmologist

Same points, same date — which occupation gives you the better odds?

Subclass
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A
Emergency Medicine Specialist
253912·189
★ Strong chance
85PTS
Chance of invitation
Strong chance of invitation
Est. wait~5 mo
Your spot in the pool
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
30 figures · each ≈ 2 EOIs · front invited first
← front (invited first)54 total EOIs
Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE8
Youtop 15% · DOE 12 Sep 2026★
At your score, behind you0
Below youlower scores46
This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places
You · #9
★
front of queue777 est. places
≈ 1 roundto clear the 8 ahead of you · FY26-27
Pool by points · submitted EOIs
2551607659701275880285YOU390
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
2Jul5Aug
View occupation page →
B
Ophthalmologist
253914·189
★ Strong chance
85PTS
Chance of invitation
Strong chance of invitation
Est. wait189 effectively closed
Your spot in the pool
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
30 figures · each ≈ 1 EOIs · front invited first
← front (invited first)4 total EOIs
Ahead of youhigher score, or 85 pts & earlier DOE1
Youtop 25% · DOE 12 Sep 2026★
At your score, behind you0
Below youlower scores3
This FY's est. 189 places✓ inside this FY's places
You · #2
★
front of queue777 est. places
Pool by points · submitted EOIs
165180185YOU
EOI submissions ≥ 85 pts · FY26-27
0Jul1Aug
View occupation page →
Together

Queue position Ophthalmologist has 8.0× fewer people ahead of you (1 vs 8).

Latest round Emergency Medicine Specialist's latest cutoff is lower: 75 vs 80 for Ophthalmologist.

Show full table
Emergency Medicine Specialist253912Ophthalmologist253914
Capacity777 · FY2026-27777 · FY2026-27
Standing#— of 196#— of 196
Queue position8 ahead1 ahead
Latest round2026-06-04 · 75 pts2026-06-04 · 80 pts
EOI data · pool & queue trend443
EOI data · submission & invitation trend——
Next round——
Open states3 listed3 listed
Invited profile——
Assessing authorityMedBAMedBA
Where they differ — subclass 189, 85 points

Capacity

Occupations in unit group 2539 share 777 places left.

A · Emergency Medicine Specialist

189 places · 2026-27estimated
960est. ceiling
777est. 189 places · 777 left

Unit group 2539 · 2025-26 official: 830 ceiling · 647 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 13 data points
957860
75you 85
20222023June 26

B · Ophthalmologist

189 places · 2026-27estimated
960est. ceiling
777est. 189 places · 777 left

Unit group 2539 · 2025-26 official: 830 ceiling · 647 remaining

Minimum points invitedAll sources · 6 data points
1059075
1008085808080you 85
20222024June 26

Standing

Emergency Medicine Specialist ranks higher: #73 vs #3 for Ophthalmologist.

A · Emergency Medicine Specialist

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked
—· top 39%
▲ Rising +40 yoy
leader 6,052median 48you
Invited 5 of 5 rounds · Regular
oldest → newest · filled = invited
Year over year
33last FY
73this FY
▲ +121%
Round to round · last 2 FY
17
16
31
20
22
▲ Rising · invites per round

B · Ophthalmologist

Invitation volume · last 2 FYof 196 ranked
—· top 89%
▲ Rising +2 yoy
leader 6,052median 48you
Invited 4 of 5 rounds · Regular
oldest → newest · filled = invited
Year over year
1last FY
3this FY
▲ +200%
Round to round · last 2 FY
1
—
1
1
1
▲ Rising · invites per round

Queue position

Ophthalmologist has 8.0× fewer people ahead of you (1 vs 8).

A · Emergency Medicine Specialist

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 6
75POINTS
25
3/6 met
80POINTS
13
5/6 met
85POINTS
5
6/6 met
90POINTS
3
6/6 met
95POINTS
0
6/6 met

B · Ophthalmologist

Ahead of you · August 2026 poolmet the cut-off of last 6
75POINTS
2
0/6 met
80POINTS
2
4/6 met
85POINTS
1
5/6 met
90POINTS
0
5/6 met
95POINTS
0
5/6 met

Latest round

Emergency Medicine Specialist's latest cutoff is lower: 75 vs 80 for Ophthalmologist.

A · Emergency Medicine Specialist

189 · last round 4 June 2026↓ Easing
Min points75
Invited0
Rounds FY3

Unchanged vs previous round

75–85 pts over last 6 rounds

Other subclasses190 · 85 pts · 5 Mar 2026491 · 65 pts · 25 May 2023

See full round history →

B · Ophthalmologist

189 · last round 4 June 2026↓ Easing
Min points80
Invited0
Rounds FY3

Unchanged vs previous round

80–100 pts over last 6 rounds

Other subclasses491 · 85 pts · 22 Aug 2022

See full round history →

EOI data · pool & queue trend

Ophthalmologist has a smaller EOI pool: 3 (+2 vs last month) vs 44 (+6) for Emergency Medicine Specialist.

A · Emergency Medicine Specialist

EOI pool by points · 08/202644 in the pool
21791282you3
5565758090

Queue at your points · 6 months

03/2026 · 1004/2026 · 805/2026 · 806/2026 · 107/2026 · 208/2026 · 5

5 at 85+ pts

▲ 3 vs last month

B · Ophthalmologist

EOI pool by points · 08/20263 in the pool
111you
6580808585

Queue at your points · 6 months

03/2026 · 004/2026 · 005/2026 · 006/2026 · 007/2026 · 008/2026 · 1

1 at 85+ pts

▲ 1 vs last month

EOI data · submission & invitation trend

Emergency Medicine Specialist drew more invitations last month: 15 vs 1 for Ophthalmologist. Pools: 44 (+6) vs 3 (+2).

A · Emergency Medicine Specialist

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month
peak Jul 25 · 6344
Feb 24May 25Aug 26
Subclass 189all points
Latest44
MoM change+6(15.8%)
Peak monthJul 2563
Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month
peak Nov 25 · 3815
Feb 24May 25Aug 26
Subclass 189all points
Latest15
MoM change-13(-46.4%)
Peak monthNov 2538

B · Ophthalmologist

EOI submission trendsubmitted EOIs in the pool · by month
3
Mar 24Jun 25Aug 26
Subclass 189all points
Latest3
MoM change+2(200.0%)
Peak monthAug 263
Invitation trendinvited + lodged · by month
peak Nov 25 · 21
Sep 24Jan 26Aug 26
Subclass 189all points
Latest1
MoM change0(0.0%)
Peak monthNov 252

Next round

No next-round estimate available.

A · Emergency Medicine Specialist

Next 189 round · at a glancepoints · DOE ≤
If 10 invited80DOE ≤ Nov 25
If 50 invited65DOE ≤ Aug 26
If 100 invitedqueue cleared
If 200 invitedqueue cleared

B · Ophthalmologist

Next 189 round · at a glancepoints · DOE ≤
If 10 invitedqueue cleared
If 50 invitedqueue cleared
If 100 invitedqueue cleared
If 200 invitedqueue cleared

Open states

Both are open in the same number of states.

Subclass 189 is the federal, points-tested stream — states do not nominate for it. Switch to 190 or 491 to compare open states.

Invited profile

At least one occupation has no state-nomination community data, so this row isn't compared.

Subclass 189 has no state-nomination community data. Compare on 190 or 491 to see an invited profile.

Assessing authority

MedBA may assess both occupations. Verify on the assessing authority's site before you apply.

MedBA

  • Assessment details →
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