Invitation points
Five-point bins, with the median annotated in amber.
Welder (First Class)· ANZSCO 322313
MLTSSL
Subclass 189, 190, 491 invitation rounds, points cut-offs & EOI trends
Latest invitation rounds
Subclass 189
invited at 85 pts on 13 November 2025
down from 90 pts · ~58 invitations issued · cut-off range 65–90 over the past 6 rounds · 2 rounds so far in FY25-26 · trend rising
Subclass 190
invited at 70 pts on 16 April 2026
up from 65 pts · 6 rounds so far in FY25-26 · trend rising
Subclass 491
invited at 80 pts on 5 March 2025
down from 95 pts · 7 rounds so far in FY24-25 · trend rising
Subclass 189 wait estimates · May 2026 EOI pool
80
Points
80
Ahead
about 1 month
85
Points
20
Ahead
less than a month
90
Points
6
Ahead
less than a month
These are model averages across the queue — for your personal rank and wait based on your own DOE, jump to Check My Score below.
189 estimates are most reliable; 190 and 491 outcomes depend heavily on state nomination policy, occupation lists, and per-state quotas, which this model does not directly incorporate.
Latest Points (190)
70
Up from 65
Last Invited
16 April 2026
Subclass 190
FY25-26 Rounds
8
rounds so far this FY
Trend Direction
Rising
Points increasing over recent rounds
Check My Score
Enter your points and date of effect to see your queue rank, estimated wait time, and invitation probability — not just a likelihood score.
Calculate invitation predictions
Compare all occupationsSee the predicted cutoff score and Date of Effect for Welder (First Class) if a given number of 189 invitations are issued in the next round.
At a glance — by round size
If 10 invited
85≤ Nov 25
If 20 invited
85≤ May 26
If 50 invited
80≤ Jan 26
If 100 invited
75≤ Oct 25
If 200 invited
70≤ Oct 25
If 500 invited
55≤ May 26
If 1000 invited
All invited (506)
Or calculate a custom number
EOI Submission Trends
Feb 24 – May 26
Latest
2,448
MoM Change
+13 (0.5%)
Peak Month
May 26 (2,448)
Invitation Trends
Feb 24 – May 26
Latest
228
MoM Change
+50 (28.1%)
Peak Month
Dec 24 (259)
EOI Pool Distribution (All Subclasses)
05/2026 snapshot · 2,448 submitted EOIs in queue
Peak Points
65
At 70+ pts
1,743
Below Cutoff
703
EOI Queue Age
Backlog by submission month — 05/2026 snapshot
Counts may differ from the EOI pool total. "Month Submitted" reflects the last submission date, and the Qlik data model may distribute EOIs across multiple months. Use this chart for relative distribution, not absolute queue sizes.
≥
In Queue
2,448
Oldest Waiting
May 24
Total Invited
591
Likelyⓘ
~3.2 yr ~ ~3.2 yr
Aug 2029~3.2 yr
Aug 2029Likely
Aug 2029~3.2 yr
Estimated wait based on monthly invitation rate variance. By the 25th percentile mark, there's a 25% chance you'll have been invited. By the 75th percentile, 75% likely.
189 Occupation CeilingTier 3
2025-26 · Structural Steel and Welding Trades Workers (3223xx)
Ceiling
775
1.0% multiplier
Grants (190/491/ENS)
289
Remaining for 189
486
Spots left (FY)
462 – 466
Tier Meaning
Standard priority — moderate demand
Point Reality Gauge
Legal minimum vs actual invited
Minimum (65)Actual (70)
Key Insights for Welder (First Class)
- ↑
Points are rising. Competition is increasing for Welder (First Class). Consider boosting your points through additional qualifications or regional pathways.
- ⚠
Still 20 points above the legal minimum. Despite current trends, Welder (First Class) remains competitive. Applicants significantly below 85 points are unlikely to receive invitations soon.
- ℹ
8 rounds so far in FY25-26. Welder (First Class) has been included in 8 invitation rounds this financial year. More rounds generally indicate sustained demand from the Department.
Minimum Points Invited
All sources · 29 data points
Est. Invitations Per Round
Federal SkillSelect · 8 rounds
Estimated based on this occupation's share of invited EOIs in the backlog. Not official data.
A profile of the invited
Period:
n =
28
community-reported invitations, spanning 19 onshore and 9 offshore.
Median pts
80
Most common
80(6×)
Where they were
Onshore vs. offshore at time of invitation.
68%onshore
Salary
5 of 28 disclosed · median ≈ $70k
Partnered status
The four points-claim categories.
Single350%
Skilled Partner233%
Partner English117%
English
Self-claimed proficiency points (0 / 10 / 20).
NAATI / CCL
Credentialled community language points.
Community-reported invitees only — applicants who weren't invited aren't here. Cells with fewer than 5 contributors are hidden for privacy. A portrait of the cohort, not a recipe.
Round History
Source:
| Date | Subclass | Source | Points | Est. Invitations | Salary | DOE / EOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2026 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 190 | QLDCommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 190 | VICCommunity | 80 | — | 💰77000 | onshore | |
| 2 Feb 2026 | 190 | SACommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 190 | VICCommunity | 85 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 189 | Federal | 85 | 9–11 | — | — | |
| 19 Sep 2025 | 190 | SACommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 21 Aug 2025 | 189 | Federal | 90 | 4–5 | — | — | |
| 14 May 2025 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 80 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 20 Mar 2025 | 190 | TASCommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 5 Mar 2025 | 491 | VICCommunity | 80 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 26 Feb 2025 | 190 | SACommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 11 Feb 2025 | 491 | VICCommunity | 95 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 4 Feb 2025 | 491 | VICCommunity | 90 | — | 💰70000 | onshore | |
| 14 Jan 2025 | 491 | VICCommunity | 90 | — | 💰70000 | onshore | |
| 14 Jan 2025 | 491 | VICCommunity | 90 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 9 Dec 2024 | 491 | VICCommunity | 90 | — | 💰70000 | onshore | |
| 13 Nov 2024 | 491 | VICCommunity | 90 | — | 💰70000 | onshore | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | Federal | 70 | 43–79 | — | — | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 75 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 80 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 75 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 75 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 75 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 5 Sep 2024 | 189 | Federal | 75 | 33–43 | — | — | |
| 5 Sep 2024 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 85 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 5 Sep 2024 | 189 | FederalCommunity | 80 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 13 Jun 2024 | 189 | Federal | 85 | 5–6 | — | — | |
| 19 Apr 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 80 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 7 Feb 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 24 Jan 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 24 Jan 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 70 | — | 💰- | offshore | |
| 21 Jan 2024 | 190 | NSWCommunity | 65 | — | 💰- | onshore | |
| 8 Dec 2022 | 491 | Federal | 65 | ~1Est. | — | — | |
| 8 Dec 2022 | 189 | Federal | 65 | ~202Est. | — | — | |
| 22 Aug 2022 | 189 | Federal | 65 | ~70Est. | — | — |
- 190NSWCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 190QLDCommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190VICCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰77000
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 190SACommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190VICCommunity85
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189Federal85
- Est. Invitations
- ~58Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 190SACommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 189Federal90
- Est. Invitations
- ~40Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 190NSWCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190TASCommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491VICCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 190SACommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 491VICCommunity95
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491VICCommunity90
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰70000
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491VICCommunity90
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰70000
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491VICCommunity90
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491VICCommunity90
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰70000
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491VICCommunity90
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰70000
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189Federal70
- Est. Invitations
- ~86Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189FederalCommunity75
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189FederalCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189FederalCommunity75
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189FederalCommunity75
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189FederalCommunity75
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189Federal75
- Est. Invitations
- ~46Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189FederalCommunity85
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 189FederalCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 189Federal85
- Est. Invitations
- ~31Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 190NSWCommunity80
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity70
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- offshore
·· - 190NSWCommunity65
- Est. Invitations
- —
- Salary
- 💰-
- DOE / EOI
- onshore
·· - 491Federal65
- Est. Invitations
- ~1Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189Federal65
- Est. Invitations
- ~202Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
·· - 189Federal65
- Est. Invitations
- ~70Est.
- Salary
- —
- DOE / EOI
- —
··
FederalSkillSelectOfficialState governmentCommunityCrowdsourced
190/491 State Nominations
EOI queue & eligibility per state for this occupation
393EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
222(56%)
27M Trend
↑ 4286%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
599EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
453(76%)
27M Trend
↑ 3964%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
180EOIs
Building & Construction
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
86(48%)
27M Trend
↑ 4667%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
217EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
122(56%)
27M Trend
↑ 3580%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
550EOIs
Peak Bracket
70pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
441(80%)
27M Trend
↑ 5320%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
87EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
53(61%)
27M Trend
↑ 4050%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
98EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
61(62%)
27M Trend
↑ 3133%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
55EOIs
Peak Bracket
65pts
Above Cutoff ≥70
36(65%)
27M Trend
↑ 5300%
Points Distribution
Queue Trend (27M)
Invited & Lodged (27M)
EOI counts may include multi-state nominations.
Related occupations
Structural Steel and Welding Trades Workers 3223
- 322311Metal Fabricator
- 322312Pressure Welder
- 322313Welder (First Class)You are here